• Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Europe logoCarnegie lettermark logo
EUUkraine
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Cornelius Adebahr"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Carnegie Europe"
  ],
  "collections": [
    "Europe’s Eastern Neighborhood",
    "EU Integration and Enlargement"
  ],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Europe",
  "programAffiliation": "EP",
  "programs": [
    "Europe"
  ],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "Europe",
    "Eastern Europe",
    "Western Europe",
    "Germany",
    "Iran"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Foreign Policy",
    "EU",
    "Political Reform"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media
Carnegie Europe

Saving What’s Left of EU Enlargement

The least the EU can do is keep up the credibility of the promise of EU membership and reform its enlargement and neighborhood policies once a new Commission is in place later this year.

Link Copied
By Cornelius Adebahr
Published on Sep 3, 2014

Source: Global Policy

World events – and history – seem to converge on the Western Balkans these days. The crisis in Ukraine highlights the EU’s failed approach to the neighbourhood, while reminding people both there and in the EU of how difficult Ukrainian membership would be to achieve. The countries that are (hoping to be) negotiating about further enlargement, in contrast, have faced a wave of populism, in both old and prospective EU member states. In the former, persisting dissatisfaction with the entry of countries like Romania and Bulgaria in 2007 makes it harder for national politicians to “sell” any further enlargement to their electorates. In the latter, citizens are frustrated with the slow speed of integration and have begun to question the EU’s sincerity to accept them as members one day. Finally, the 100th anniversary of the breakout of World War I this August has brought numerous references to the “powder keg” that the region once was – and, for some, still is today.

Today’s reality is – thankfully – much more profane, with talks centering on economic growth, establishing the rule of law, and fostering regional cooperation. In Dubrovnik in mid-July, foreign ministers, deputy ministers and other high-ranking officials from nearly 30 European countries – plus guests from the United States, Russia, China, Japan and New Zealand – met for the second edition of the Croatia Forum.

Unlike is customary on such glamorous occasions, participants did not mince their words when it came to criticizing the “State of Play” of the integration of the Western Balkans into the EU. Stating that the EU’s enlargement process lacks dynamism was the more polite form of criticism, which extended to diagnosing a collective policy failure on the part of the national elites from the region. However, there is also an intrinsic difficulty to enlargement that even the most capable politicians could not do away with: the gap between a continuously integrating EU – which makes accession ever more demanding – and a region still mired in different stages of state-building.

So while some progress has been made since the most recent entry of Croatia into the EU last summer – Serbia has started accession negotiations, Albania has received candidate status, and Montenegro is advancing in its negotiations through the opening of new chapters of the acquis – a lot more needs to be done.

It is thus more than welcome that German Chancellor Angela Merkel made a personal effort to invite the leaders of all Western Balkans countries to a summit. The heads of government, foreign ministers, and economic ministers of eight governments – including those of Croatia and Slovenia, which are already EU members – plus EU leaders like Commission President Barroso and Enlargement Commissioner Füle all came to Berlin for one day for what was meant to not only be a symbolic meeting. Quite concretely, in addition to the leaders’ gathering, a business meeting chaired by Energy Commissioner Oettinger aimed to enhance economic and industrial cooperation in the region. This was more than necessary, given the region’s high unemployment rates as well as complete lack of an industrial base. Thus, investments in energy infrastructure are needed as much as an extension and upgrading of the existing transport infrastructure.

“Not forgetting the Western Balkans” is a start, yet it is not going to be enough if the EU wants these countries to one day be prosperous member states – not out of compassion but based on its own interests. True, Angela Merkel reiterated that the EU will stick to the “European perspective” it has promised those countries. However, placing all responsibility for achieving this on the countries themselves misses the broader picture of a largely disinterested EU that furthermore lacks the tools to break the gridlock holding back the societies of the region.

The least the EU can do is keep up the credibility of the membership promise and reform its enlargement and neighbourhood policies once a new Commission is in place later this year. As for the former, the continuation of this year’s summit in Vienna in 2015 is a good sign. For the latter policy areas, it will be crucial to define intermediate steps – as the visa facilitation regime did for the Western Balkans countries – that provide tangible rewards for concrete reform efforts.

This ‘piecemeal approach’ should be very much to the likings of Chancellor Merkel, who is known to detest grandiose speeches. That’s only one more reason why continued German leadership ought to be welcome in the Western Balkans.

This piece was originally published in Global Policy.

About the Author

Cornelius Adebahr

Former Nonresident Fellow, Carnegie Europe

Cornelius Adebahr was a nonresident fellow at Carnegie Europe. His research focuses on foreign and security policy, in particular regarding Iran and the Persian Gulf, on European and transatlantic affairs, and on citizens’ engagement.

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    EU-Iran: Time to Revisit Assumptions and Strategize

      Cornelius Adebahr

  • Research
    Making an Inclusive EU Strategy on Iran a Reality

      Cornelius Adebahr, Barbara Mittelhammer

Cornelius Adebahr
Former Nonresident Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Cornelius Adebahr
Foreign PolicyEUPolitical ReformEuropeEastern EuropeWestern EuropeGermanyIran

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Europe

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Is France Shifting Rightward?

    The far right failed to win big in France’s municipal elections. But that’s not good news for the country’s left wing, which remained disunited while the broader right consolidated its momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential race.

      Catherine Fieschi

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Is it NATO’s Job to Support Trump’s War of Choice?

    Donald Trump has demanded that European allies send ships to the Strait of Hormuz while his war of choice in Iran rages on. He has constantly berated NATO while the alliance’s secretary-general has emphatically supported him.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Time to Merge the Commission and EEAS

    The EU is structurally incapable of reacting to today’s foreign policy crises. The union must fold the EEAS into the European Commission and create a security council better prepared to take action on the global stage.

      Stefan Lehne

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Russia’s Imperial Retreat Is Europe’s Strategic Opportunity

    The war in Ukraine is costing Russia its leverage overseas. Across the South Caucasus and Middle East, this presents an opportunity for Europe to pick up the pieces and claim its own sphere of influence.

      William Dixon, Maksym Beznosiuk

  • Commentary
    Is the Radical-Right Threat Existential or Overstated?

    Amid increased polarization and the influence of disinformation, radical-right parties are once again gaining traction across Europe. With landmark elections on the horizon in several countries, are the EU’s geostrategic vision and fundamental values under existential threat?

      Catherine Fieschi, Cas Mudde

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
Carnegie Europe logo, white
Rue du Congrès, 151000 Brussels, Belgium
  • Research
  • Strategic Europe
  • About
  • Experts
  • Projects
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Gender Equality Plan
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Europe
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.