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Source: Getty

In The Media

Look Toward Saudi Arabia

While the crisis in Egypt will have major implications across the Arab world, the peace process will not be significantly affected. The country that will be most crucial in charting a new path forward for the Israeli-Palestinian peace process is Saudi Arabia, not Egypt.

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By Marwan Muasher
Published on Feb 1, 2011
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Middle East

The Middle East Program in Washington combines in-depth regional knowledge with incisive comparative analysis to provide deeply informed recommendations. With expertise in the Gulf, North Africa, Iran, and Israel/Palestine, we examine crosscutting themes of political, economic, and social change in both English and Arabic.

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Source: New York Times

Look Toward Saudi ArabiaThe crisis in Egypt will have major implications for the Arab world, but the peace process will not be significantly affected. While it’s too early to tell at this stage what the shape of a future Egyptian government will take, it is safe to say that any of the potential new leaders will not break Egypt’s peace treaty with Israel.

Unlike many other Arab leaders, President Mubarak has enjoyed a solid working relationship with Prime Minister Netanyahu, but this hasn’t moved the peace process forward. And it’s important to note that before the protests erupted on the Egyptian streets, relations between Israel and Egypt were cold on a popular level.
 
Cairo’s influence over the peace process has actually been waning over the last several years. Egypt tried to broker an agreement between the Palestinian Authority and Hamas, but didn’t succeed. So even with Egypt’s engagement there have been no tangible breakthroughs in recent years.
 
The key country to look toward in the Arab world on the peace process is not Egypt, but Saudi Arabia. Along with the United States, Saudi Arabia will be crucial for charting a new plan for getting to the endgame before it’s too late. And this won’t change with new leadership in Cairo.
 
Egypt has undoubtedly played an important and leading role in pushing the peace process forward in the past, but there’s not much of a peace process at the moment. With this in mind, colder relations between Egypt and Israel will not make a huge difference over the prospects for peace between Israelis and Palestinians in the short term.
Marwan Muasher
Vice President for Studies
Marwan Muasher
Political ReformSecurityMiddle EastIsraelEgyptPalestineSaudi ArabiaGulf

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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