• Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Global logoCarnegie lettermark logo
DemocracyIran
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Yan Xuetong"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Carnegie China"
  ],
  "collections": [
    "China’s Foreign Relations"
  ],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie China",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "East Asia",
    "China"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Security",
    "Military"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media
Carnegie China

China: Change and Challenge

China may need a bigger military budget to match its growing global presence.

Link Copied
By Yan Xuetong
Published on Mar 11, 2013

Source: NHK World

JAMES TENGAN, CORRESPONDENT, NHK WORLD: Professor Yan Xuetong of Tsinghua University is regarded as an academic who has influence over Chinese government officials. He's the Dean of the Institute of Modern International Relations. Our conversation about foreign policy started with the military, and his argument in favor of the increase in China's defense budget to about 120 billion dollars. 

YAN XUETONG: We need a stronger military ability to protect this country's security, people's security. And the security of the society. People should not be shocked by increasing the military budget and build a strong military power, because that's really what we need for the new security problems we're facing in the future.

JAMES TENGAN: Xi Jinping called for the so-called "restoration" of the Chinese people last November when he took charge of the Communist Party. Former leader Jiang Zemin used the expression after the 1989 Tiananmen Square incident.

YAN XUETONG: This is called the National Rejuvenation. It means that Chinese people are looking for the historical, international positions. Like in the Tang and the Hang dynasties. And we believe China, with the largest population of the world, they should be the strongest power in the world. And they should enjoy that equivalent respect from the rest of the world.

JAMES TENGAN: That approach is reflected, to some extent, in the territorial dispute that's divided Japan and China. Japan controls the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea. China claims them, and calls them the Diaoyu Islands. Chinese protested across the country after the Japanese government nationalized the islands last September. The demonstrations have died down. But Chinese vessels remain active in an area just outside Japanese waters near the islands.

YAN XUETONG: The Abe administration denies there's a dispute over the islands, deny that there's conflict between the two countries. And that's really strange. I think to admit to the disputes is the precondition for improve China and Japan's relation. If the Abe administration adopts a positive approach and is looking for a way to settle down the disputes, over the Diaoyu Islands, I think that kind of initiative or action will definitely get a very positive response Xi Jinping government.

JAMES TENGAN: In your eyes, what are the biggest differences between the old leadership and the upcoming administration?

YAN XUETONG: China's international status has already changed. And no matter what their personal orientation they prefer, and they have to adopt China's foreign policy according to China's new international status. The conflicts between China and the US will become to deepen and widen, so from my understanding Chinese government's policy is to try to prevent all of these potential conflicts escalating into military clashes first. During the Cold War, there's no social contact between, no social and economic and cultural contact between the US and the Soviet Union. So, from my understanding, the Chinese government will carry out policy based on the people's contact to be continued, and also preventing military confrontation between China and the US.

This transcript was originally published on NHK World.

About the Author

Yan Xuetong

Former President, Carnegie China Management Board, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

Yan Xuetong was president of the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center Management Board until June 2020.

Yan Xuetong
Former President, Carnegie China Management Board, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy
Yan Xuetong
SecurityMilitaryEast AsiaChina

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

  • Commentary
    Deciphering Europe’s Relationship with Turkey

    Debate is heating up on how Turkey could be integrated into a common European defense framework. Commercial and industrial deals offer a better chance at alignment than sweeping political efforts.

      Marc Pierini

  • Construction site
    Commentary
    Emissary
    The Iran War Isn’t the Only Challenge Facing Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030

    As the monarchy appears to question its grandest projects, the state could do with more critical debate than rote cheerleading.

      • Andrew Leber

      Andrew Leber

  • Gas station attendant gesturing while a woman gets her motorcycle refilled
    Commentary
    Emissary
    Fuel Subsidies Are an Easy Fix for the Iran War’s Energy Price Shock—and the Wrong One

    Instead, governments should adopt climate-friendly measures to address the impact of rising prices.

      • Henok Asmelash

      Henok Asmelash

  • Servers
    Article
    The Geopolitical Debates Over Controlling Cloud Compute

    If U.S. policymakers continue down the path of restricting China’s access to frontier AI, they will eventually have to implement some sort of restriction on cloud access.

      Noah Tan

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Azerbaijan Looks to Tap Ukraine’s Military Expertise With Raft of New Deals

    Baku’s backing for Ukraine is less about confronting Russia than about quietly broadening the mix of partners it relies on.

      Zaur Shiriyev

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carnegie global logo, stacked
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC, 20036-2103Phone: 202 483 7600
  • Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
  • Donate
  • Programs
  • Events
  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Contact
  • Annual Reports
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Government Resources
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.