- +16
Stewart Patrick, Erica Hogan, Oliver Stuenkel, …
{
"authors": [
"Trinh Nguyen"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "asia",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "AP",
"programs": [
"Asia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"South Asia",
"India",
"Southeast Asia",
"Indonesia"
],
"topics": [
"Economy",
"Trade"
]
}Source: Getty
India and Indonesia Can Be Big Winners From Global Trade War
The potential is clear for both India and Indonesia to transform their demographic booms into engines of domestic demand while positioning themselves as alternatives to China for labor-intensive manufacturing.
Source: Financial Times
At last, long-suffering investors in India’s economy have something to cheer about. On Friday, the country announced steep corporate tax cuts, sending the value of its main stock index up 6 per cent in dollar terms on the day and another 3 per cent on Monday.
The tax cut is significant, with the rate for manufacturing now on a par with low-rate jurisdictions such as Singapore. The message is that India is open to business, and that it aims not just to assuage investors’ concerns but to set a new path for growth. India’s prime minister Narendra Modi has been meeting investors and Indian diaspora on a US tour this week to make sure the message gets through.
It is about time. In a low-growth world, India and its regional neighbour Indonesia became investor favourites, boasting a combination that the developed world lacks: large populations and favourable demographic trends...
This article was originally published in the Financial Times.
About the Author
Former Nonresident Scholar, Asia Program
Trinh Nguyen was a nonresident scholar in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
- BRICS Expansion and the Future of World Order: Perspectives from Member States, Partners, and AspirantsResearch
- Indonesia’s Controversial Fuel Price Hike Was Actually NecessaryCommentary
Trinh Nguyen
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Taking the Pulse: Is Canada Leading a Third Way?Commentary
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump: at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos and on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations. Is Carney showing a third way better than the EU has in dealing with the Trump administration?
Rym Momtaz, ed.
- Is the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Performance Art or Meaningful Collaboration?Commentary
Xi, Putin, and other regional leaders are back-slapping in Bishkek, but the SCO has yet to answer the most serious questions about continental Asia's economic future.
Evan A. Feigenbaum
- Gas and Peace: Can Energy Trade Contain Egypt-Israel Conflict?Commentary
Can economic ties help contain conflict between Egypt and Israel, or do they simply postpone confrontation? Drawing on the German-Russian experience, the article examines how the gas deal creates mutual dependence, keeps channels of cooperation open, and raises the cost of conflict, without necessarily delivering lasting peace.
Nourhan Hefzy
- A Halting Turn: India’s Military TransformationCommentary
In any defense establishment, change is an ongoing process. However, despite the best of intentions, existing bureaucracies, bound by habit and years of socialization, have their limits in implementing transformative change.
Anit Mukherjee
- The Iran War Has Sparked a Domestic Crisis in KenyaCommentary
The conflict has sent economic and political shock waves through a country with no representation at the negotiating table—and Kenya is not alone.
Georgia Schaefer-Brown, Jane Munga