Edition

N. Korea Flexes Nuclear Power Amid Regional Arms Race, Wants U.S. to End ‘Hostile Policy’

IN THIS ISSUE: N. Korea Flexes Nuclear Power Amid Regional Arms Race, Wants U.S. to End ‘Hostile Policy’, US, Israel Say They Are Exploring a ‘Plan B’ for Iran, Pentagon Says Hypersonic Weapons Are Too Expensive, S. Korea’s Top Nuclear Envoy Says Russia’s Role ‘Important’ in Restarting N. Korea Talks, China’s Missile Silos and the Sino-Indian Nuclear Competition, Can U.S. and South Korean Public Opinion Align on North Korea?

Published on October 14, 2021

N. Korea Flexes Nuclear Power Amid Regional Arms Race, Wants U.S. to End ‘Hostile Policy’

Nick Schifrin and Harry Zahn | PBS News Hour

The stars were out on Pyongyang’s red carpet, intercontinental ballistic missiles, a new surface-to-air missile, a new hypersonic glide vehicle, and, behind Kim Jong-un himself, what North Korea calls new-type gigantic rocket, a flashy flaunting of years of North Korean military and nuclear advancement, and outside, human weapons, demonstrations of tae kwon do and North Korean soldiers’ toughness. Fighters flying by, to the delight of Kim and a sea of military leaders, the audience for the weapons exhibition both global and local, says Ankit Panda of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

US, Israel Say They Are Exploring a ‘Plan B’ for Iran

Matthew Lee | Associated Press

The United States and Israel said Wednesday they are exploring a “Plan B” for dealing with Iran if the Islamic Republic does not return in good faith to negotiations to salvage the languishing landmark 2015 nuclear deal. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid said discussions between their two countries have begun on “other options” should Iran reject an offer to come back into compliance with the agreement if the U.S. rejoins it. They did not elaborate on what those options might be, but there are a wide range of non-diplomatic options that could be considered, ranging from stepped up sanctions to covert or military actions.

Pentagon Says Hypersonic Weapons Are Too Expensive

Mike Stone | Reuters

The Pentagon wants defense contractors to cut the ultimate cost of hypersonic weapons, the head of research and development said on Tuesday, as the next generation of super-fast missiles being developed currently cost tens of millions per unit. “We need to figure out how to drive towards more affordable hypersonics,” Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering Heidi Shyu told reporters at the Association of United States Army conference in Washington. She said cost was something she “would like to help industry focus on.”

S. Korea’s Top Nuclear Envoy Says Russia’s Role ‘Important’ in Restarting N. Korea Talks

Chae Yun-hwan | Yonhap News Agency

South Korea’s chief nuclear envoy said Wednesday that Russia has an “important” role to play to restart denuclearization talks with North Korea, as he departed the country to meet with his Russian counterpart. Noh Kyu-duk, the special representative for Korean Peninsula peace and security affairs, made the remarks at Incheon International Airport before leaving for Moscow to meet with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Igor Morgulov on Thursday.

China’s Missile Silos and the Sino-Indian Nuclear Competition

Debak Das | War on the Rocks

This summer, U.S. analysts using commercial satellite imagery discovered that China was significantly expanding its nuclear forces and building hundreds of new missile silos. With the new silos, China could potentially double the size of its arsenal of intercontinental ballistic missiles. The news sent shockwaves through Washington. The head of Strategic Command called the developments “breathtaking,” and the news is sure to embolden efforts to fund U.S. nuclear modernization efforts on Capitol Hill. While the United States has a much larger nuclear force than China — with 3,750 nuclear warheads in its nuclear weapons stockpile compared to China’s 350 warheads — it will still likely take a forceful response to China’s latest nuclear developments. But how will India — China’s other nuclear armed adversary — react to Beijing’s new missile silos?

Can U.S. and South Korean Public Opinion Align on North Korea?

Scott Snyder | Forbes

North Korea’s leadership has clearly shifted its expectations away from the United States and toward South Korea in recent weeks despite the Joe Biden administration’s unfolding “calibrated practical” offers of unconditional dialogue. With the Moon Jae-in administration in its waning days, South Korea’s March 2022 presidential election heating up, and South Korean National Security Advisor Suh Hoon in Washington for high-level consultations between the United States and South Korea, public opinion polling in both countries suggests a narrow pathway for the two governments as the Moon administration engages with North Korea while preparing for South Korea’s political transition to a new presidential leadership.

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.