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Seven Realities That Made an Iran Deal Almost Inevitable

IN THIS ISSUE: Seven realities that made an Iran deal almost inevitable, the aim of IAEA verification in Iran, what does Iran get in exchange for the bomb?, the good, the bad and the ugly nuclear agreement, China pushes forward hypersonic missile tests, a decade of the India nuclear deal.

Published on July 21, 2015

Seven Realities That Made an Iran Deal Almost Inevitable

Shai Feldman and Ariel E. Levite |  National Interest

Missing from the immediate commentary on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action signed between the P5+1 and Iran is an assessment of the extent to which a nuclear deal with Iran had become possible, perhaps even inevitable for the United States—once Iran has come around to seriously look for one—due to larger forces at bay. 

The Aim of IAEA Verification in Iran

Mark Hibbs | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

If all goes according to plan, sometime in the fall of 2023, the European Union and the United States will terminate the second of three tranches of nuclear sanctions against Iran, and Iran will initiate parliamentary ratification of its Additional Protocol for IAEA safeguards.

What Does Iran Get in Exchange for the Bomb?

Alexei Arbatov  |  Eurasia Outlook

There are three alternatives to a nuclear deal with Iran: a new Gulf War with airstrikes against Iran, a nuclear-armed Iran, and a strike against Iran, followed by an Iran with nuclear weapons, and then followed by another regional war—only this time, a nuclear one.

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly Nuclear Agreement

Ariel Levite | Haaretz

One must admit that the nuclear deal finally thrashed out in Vienna between Iran and the powers earlier this week is fundamentally different from the package we were led to expect by all the parties’ public statements, as well as their interim agreements.  

China Pushes Forward Hypersonic Missile Tests

Li Bao | Voice of America

"I would very tentatively suggest, very tentatively, that the available evidence implies that Chinese hypersonic glide development is significantly less advanced than the United States at the moment," James Acton said. 

A Decade of the India Nuclear Deal

Ashley J. Tellis |  Live Mint

The deal revolutionized U.S.-India ties, which progressed so dramatically that it is often easy to forget the recrimination that dominated bilateral encounters since 1974.

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