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The Fatal Blast in Poland Shows the Heightened Risk of Escalation

IN THIS ISSUE: The Fatal Blast in Poland Shows the Heightened Risk of Escalation, Iran Must Cooperate With Uranium Probe, Says IAEA Board Resolution, N. Korea Warns of Fiercer Military Response to U.S. 'Extended Deterrence' to its Allies, IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine, Yoon, Xi Share Views for Peace on Korean Peninsula, Ukraine Won’t Ignite a Nuclear Scramble

Published on November 18, 2022

 

The Fatal Blast in Poland Shows the Heightened Risk of Escalation

Steven Erlanger | The New York Times

The intense reaction Tuesday night to the likely false alarm about a Russian missile striking a NATO ally, Poland, was a sobering reminder — if one were needed — of the risks that an already brutal conflict in Ukraine could escalate into a wider war that brings Russia and NATO into military confrontation.

Iran Must Cooperate With Uranium Probe, Says IAEA Board Resolution

Francois Murphy | Reuters

The United Nations atomic watchdog's 35-nation Board of Governors passed a resolution ordering Iran to cooperate urgently with the agency's investigation into uranium traces found at three undeclared sites, diplomats at Thursday's closed-door vote said. The resolution drafted by the United States, Britain, France and Germany says "it is essential and urgent" that Iran explain the origin of the uranium particles and more generally give the International Atomic Energy Agency all the answers it requires.

N. Korea Warns of Fiercer Military Response to U.S. 'Extended Deterrence' to its Allies

Yonhap News Agency

North Korea's foreign minister warned Thursday that Pyongyang will take fiercer military actions if the United States sticks to its campaign for the strengthening of the extended deterrence to its regional allies. In a statement, Choe Son-hui took issue with an agreement of the leaders of South Korea, the United States and Japan earlier this week to bolster the extended deterrence capabilities, which refer to Washington's readiness to provide Seoul with all necessary options, both nuclear and conventional, to deter aggression or provocation by the North.

IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine

IAEA 

Ukraine's Khmelnytskyy Nuclear Power Plant (KhNPP) lost all access to the electricity grid yesterday due to military attacks in the country, forcing it to temporarily rely on diesel generators for back-up power, Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said today, citing information he had received from Ukrainian authorities.

Yoon, Xi Share Views for Peace on Korean Peninsula

Shin Ji-hye |The Korea Herald

On the sidelines of the summit, Yoon had a bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the evening to discuss China's role in resolving the North Korean nuclear issue at a time when its seventh nuclear test could take place at any moment amid North Korea's all-out provocations…President Yoon pointed out that North Korea is continuing its provocations with unprecedented frequency and escalating nuclear and missile threats, and expressed hope that China, as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council and a neighboring country, will “play a more active and constructive role.”

Ukraine Won’t Ignite a Nuclear Scramble

Eric Brewer, Nicholas L. Miller, and Tristan Volpe | Foreign Affairs

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has unleashed a wave of concern about the global nuclear order. Such worries are understandable…But although Russia’s war has created nuclear risks, the risk that it will unleash a wave of nuclear proliferation is lower than many believe.. Taking advantage of this moment will not be easy, and it will require a strong government commitment to revitalizing U.S. civil nuclear exports. But handled properly, the crisis could end up strengthening U.S. nonproliferation efforts rather than igniting a cascade of new weapons states.

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.