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Trump Fixates on China as Nuclear Arms Pact Nears Expiration

IN THIS ISSUE: Russia Slams US Arguments for Low-Yield Nukes, Concern as Coronavirus Threatens Russia's 'Closed Nuclear Cities', Outsiders Consider Possibility of Chaos in North Korea, Japan Is Working on a Hypersonic Anti-Ship Missile That May Be a Threat to Chinese Navy Activities

Published on April 30, 2020

Trump Fixates on China as Nuclear Arms Pact Nears Expiration

Robbie Gramer and Jack Deutsch | Foreign Policy 

The Trump administration is increasingly set on trying to bring China into a key nuclear arms deal with Russia, according to documents obtained by Foreign Policy, amid fears by arms control experts that the effort is futile and the United States is running out of time to recommit to the Obama-era New START treaty. But according to a report by the State Department that was provided to Congress in February and obtained by Foreign Policy, the administration is focused broadly on beefing up U.S. nuclear security and “has not yet made a decision regarding whether or how extension of the New START Treaty will be an element of that effort."

Russia Slams US Arguments for Low-Yield Nukes

Vladimir Isachenkov | AP

The Russian Foreign Ministry on Wednesday rejected U.S. arguments for fielding low-yield nuclear warheads, warning that an attempt to use such weapons against Russia would trigger an all-out nuclear retaliation. The U.S. State Department argued in a paper released last week that fitting the low-yield nuclear warheads to submarine-launched ballistic missiles would help counter potential new threats from Russia and China. The Russian Foreign Ministry sees it otherwise. The ministry’s spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, commented on the State Department’s paper at a briefing on Wednesday, emphasizing that the U.S. shouldn’t view its new low-yield warheads as a flexible tool that could help avert an all-out nuclear conflict with Russia.

Concern as Coronavirus Threatens Russia's 'Closed Nuclear Cities'

Reuters

The head of Russia’s state-run nuclear corporation has expressed concern about the spread of the new coronavirus to three “nuclear cities”, including one that houses a top-secret research institute that helped develop the Soviet atomic bomb. The cities are closely linked to Russia’s nuclear industry, which is managed by the Rosatom corporation. Several are closed to foreigners and Russians require special clearance to enter them as facilities located there are closely guarded secrets.

Outsiders Consider Possibility of Chaos in North Korea

Foster Klug | AP

North Korea’s collapse has been predicted — wrongly— for decades. It’s no surprise then that recent rumors that leader Kim Jong Un is seriously ill have led to similar hand-wringing. South Korea believes that Kim is alive and in control, and most analysts agree that even if he weren’t, Kim’s powerful sister, Kim Yo Jong, would likely take control, possibly with the help of select officials. Many experts say North Korea would weather the transition just as it has every other upheaval. But what if it didn’t? Here’s a look at how other nations might deal with a catastrophe in North Korea.

Japan Is Working on a Hypersonic Anti-Ship Missile That May Be a Threat to Chinese Navy Activities

Liu Zheng | South China Morning Post

Japan is developing a hypersonic anti-ship missile, a weapon that can cruise at high altitudes and could pose a threat to Chinese aircraft carriers in the East China Sea. The Ministry of Defence has said it would be a hyper velocity gliding projectile (HVGP) and it planned to deploy an early version of the missile in 2026, followed by an enhanced version after 2028. Japan’s first missile would focus on land targets, while the upgraded version would feature claw-shaped payloads, enhanced speeds and firing ranges to attack large surface ships, the ministry said.

DoD's Border Wall Funding Shift Hits Russia Deterrence Efforts

Joe Gould | Defense News

The Pentagon is moving to scuttle nearly 19 more military construction projects ― including $274 million worth in Europe to deter Russia ― as a means to backfill a number of building projects at home that were deferred to pay for President Donald Trump’s border wall. Defense Secretary Mark Esper directed the moves in a memo Monday to acting Pentagon Comptroller Elaine McCusker, which was obtained by Defense News. The funding shifts detailed Tuesday would deal a particular blow to efforts to deter Russia in Europe, where roughly $1 billion in planned projects stand to lose funding to pay for the southern border wall.

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