Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
As the living conditions for Syrian refugees worsen and the risks of going home mount, the notion of a voluntary return is rapidly losing meaning.
China’s and India’s respective military postures, and the perceptions these developments engender on both sides, indicate a path forward. These nuclear rivals should take steps to stabilize their relationship and reduce the chances of conflict.
Liberal democracy is in crisis where it was long thought most securely established. In both Western Europe and the United States, polls suggest voters are losing faith in democratic institutions.
Governments around the world are closely watching the upcoming Swedish election for evidence of Russian hacking, and tips on how to stop it.
For the citizens of Turkey, the upcoming elections boil down to a choice between a one-man-rule system with no checks and balances and a possible return to a more liberal and parliamentary system of governance.
Without a firm constitutional basis, early elections in Libya would not only produce a government whose legitimacy is contested even more widely, but also leave the door open for another strongman to rise to power.
Those in power now have much graver consequences due to globalization, technology, and the complexity of society. The kleptocracy and kakistocracy feed back on each other.
Paris and Berlin have diametrically opposed views about what the future of the EU should look like.It is hard to see how both views can be reconciled.
The deal between U.S. President Trump and the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is weak and far too general. The diverging interpretations of how to develop the agreement bode poorly for the future.
Despite the pageantry of the Singapore summit, the outcomes remain uncertain.
It’s not impossible that the Singapore summit will spark a process that succeeds. But the president’s all-or-nothing approach to denuclearizing North Korea is a misrepresentation to the summit’s outcome.
A summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un may have been the only way to change the diplomatic dynamic between North Korea and the U.S. Whether this high risk approach will work remains to be seen.
Hungary and Poland are not seeking illiberal democracy. They are sliding toward authoritarianism under a false presentation of the majority will.
The hopes for peace and disarmament are understandable, but how quickly will those commitments begin? So far the results are non-existent.
President Trump went to the meeting with Kim Jong-un to try and take the keys to his nuclear kingdom. But Kim Jong-Un is not surrendering North Korea's nuclear weapons and has walked away the winner.
This situation between Russia and NATO heightens the risk of a complete breakdown of bilateral nuclear arms control. It is compounded by the lack of regular strategic dialogue.
Trump’s behavior has not wholly damaged U.S. credibility — yet. But over time, his unilateral volatility threatens to become the dominant narrative about the U.S., eclipsing past values and leadership.
Though the joint statement from the Trump-Kim summit remains vague, the meeting could be an effective confidence-building measure in steps toward implementing a denuclearization agreement.
While the hopes for a durable peace might be premature, the conflicts in Kashmir and Afghanistan might be entering a new phase in their long and depressing history.
In the course of one morning in Singapore, U.S. President Donald Trump and the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un have begun to loosen a deeply entrenched and hostile relationship.
Although Senate Democrats and others are calling for complete dismantlement and removal of nuclear and chemical weapons from North Korea, the North Koreans have entirely different expectations. Political leaders in the United States should clarify what progress looks like, rather than attempting to negotiate a perfect deal.
Stay connected to the Global Think Tank with Carnegie's smartphone app for Android and iOS devices