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Carnegie Politika
Russia’s Remaining Leverage Over Armenia Is Dwindling Fast

The Kremlin’s options include attempting to organize a coup in Yerevan, or applying economic pressure. Neither is particularly likely.

· March 13, 2024
commentary
Strategic Europe
In the Caucasus, Another Year of War or Peace

Armenia and Azerbaijan may be nearing a bilateral peace agreement, but the threat of violence persists. A major sticking point is the Zangezur Corridor, where Baku and Moscow may pursue a deal to the detriment of Yerevan and the West.

· February 13, 2024
commentary
Carnegie Politika
South Caucasus Turns Away From Russia Toward Middle East

Rapid geopolitical change is curtailing Russian power in the South Caucasus, boosting the influence of Middle Eastern countries and bookending the region’s “post-Soviet” history.

· February 8, 2024
article
“No People, No Problems”: The Growing Appeal of Authoritarian Conflict Management

Syria, Azerbaijan, and some officials in Israel have conceptualized forced displacement as a mode of conflict management. That has consequences for the Western peacebuilding model.

· January 31, 2024
commentary
Carnegie Politika
Landmark Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Treaty Inches Closer

Despite their bloody history and repeated recent disappointments, a long-term accommodation between Armenia and Azerbaijan is within reach.

· January 23, 2024
In The Media
in the media
Armenia’s Existential Moment

Armenia is facing its most precarious moment in three decades. The loss of Karabakh, a region with a centuries-old history of Armenian habitation and heritage, will reverberate for generations.

· December 5, 2023
Engelsberg Ideas
commentary
Carnegie Politika
Defeated Armenia Looks to a New, Post-Russia Foreign Policy

Yerevan does not want to repeat the mistakes of the past by relying too much on a single ally.

· November 27, 2023
In The Media
in the media
Azerbaijan’s Armenian ‘Corridor’ Is a Challenge to the Global Rules-Based Order

Revisionist autocracies are coordinating greater control of the Eurasian continent.

· November 2, 2023
Foreign Policy
commentary
Carnegie Politika
Can There Be Lasting Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan?

Instead of Russian and Western drafts of a peace treaty, there will now only be one: Azerbaijan’s.

· October 27, 2023
commentary
Carnegie Politika
Long-Standing Ties Between Armenia and Russia Are Fraying Fast

Russia failed to stop Azerbaijan’s attack on Nagorno-Karabakh and the flight of Karabakh Armenians. Consequently, Armenia will be looking elsewhere for security guarantees.

  • Alexander Atasuntsev
· October 13, 2023