Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
In Idlib, Turkey could deter Russian airstrikes and ensure the region remains out of the Syrian regime’s control by going after extremist groups.
Russia has successfully used local ceasefires and international negotiations to cut off rebel strongholds and co-opt regional powers to support its offensives.
Gulf economic aid has averted Jordan’s debt crisis for now, but further support may require concessions regarding the kingdom’s previously independent foreign policy.
Out of options to break the Gaza siege, Hamas is trying to co-opt continued protest marches to boost its leverage against Fatah.
Changes to Turkey’s electoral laws have increased the potential for electoral fraud.
Impending sanctions on Iran will make Turkey’s energy imports more expensive and contribute to the devaluation of the lira.
Like Hani al-Mulki, Omar al-Razzaz comes into office with a mandate to address economic issues that are beyond the Jordanian government’s ability to resolve.
Erdogan has managed to gain appeal across the region by emphasizing his independent foreign policy and successful economic and religious stewardship while still maintaining an appearance of electoral democracy.
Turkey’s opposition parties have moderated their ideologies and coordinated their strategies to collectively win more votes in the upcoming elections, which could deal a blow to the ruling AKP.
Its economic future in question, Tehran is looking to maintain and increase its influence in Iraq by investing in schemes and projects linked with loyal paramilitary forces.
Amid low turnout in Iraq’s elections, the Sadrists’ active voter base helped them win Baghdad.
On May 6, Lebanese voters will elect an incoming parliament for the first time since 2009. How will Lebanon’s changing political and security landscape affect the outcome?
With their legitimacy and credibility irreparably damaged, Kurdish political elites stand to lose seats and influence in Iraq’s upcoming parliamentary elections.
Turkey’s military engagement in Syria could lead the PKK to reorient its focus back toward Turkey, where increased repression has left Kurdish activists fewer nonviolent alternatives for opposition.
Losing control of his campaign narratives, Iraq’s incumbent prime minister is facing questions about his credentials on nationalism, security, and public services.
Jordan has managed to reduce budgetary deficits for 2018, but rising operational costs and stagnant sources of revenue will keep it reliant on foreign aid.
Growing cooperation between Egypt and Israel will have direct implications on Cairo’s ability to play its traditional role as a mediator in the Palestinian peace process.
Syrians’ efforts to survive aerial bombardment in Eastern Ghouta have left them more vulnerable to chemical attacks.
The lack of elite support for nonviolent protests in Palestine means the model of local resistance will remain marginalized.
Under increasing financial pressure, states hosting Syrian refugees are pressuring them to return whether conditions in Syria are safe or not.