A discussion of how relevant political players in Arab countries among regimes, opposition movements, and external actors have adapted ten years after the onset of the Arab Spring.
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
The Carnegie Middle East Program has worked for decades to understand tides of reform in the Arab world. While the uprisings of the Arab Spring have overwhelmingly failed to change Arab politics in a sustained manner, the questions of how Arab states govern and how Arab populations experience governance remain. Through our ongoing research, we seek to understand governance as multi-faceted and fundamental to the domestic and foreign policy of Arab states.
The countries of the region have engaged in sustained competition that has tested their capacities and limitations, while resisting domination by rivals. Can a more stable order emerge from this maelstrom, and what would it require?
As Washington reduces its presence in the country, the success of its withdrawal and continued containment of the Islamic State will hinge on adopting an approach of flexible oversight built around three priorities, as well as balancing Turkish and Israeli red lines.