Judy Dempsey
{
"authors": [
"Judy Dempsey"
],
"type": "commentary",
"blog": "Strategic Europe",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie Europe"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Europe",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Europe",
"Western Europe",
"Germany"
],
"topics": [
"EU"
]
}Source: Getty
Don’t Write Off Angela Merkel or AKK
Just because she quit as party leader doesn’t mean that the German Chancellor has to be a lame duck.
Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer is the new leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party, a position that Chancellor Angela Merkel held for eighteen years. Merkel, who betrays little emotion in public, was visibly delighted when the results were announced during the party’s congress in Hamburg on December 7. Her preferred candidate won.
It was no shoo-in for Kramp-Karrenbauer. She clinched 52 percent of the vote. Her rival, Friedrich Merz, out of politics for several years after challenging Merkel’s authority, won 48 percent. The CDU is divided. “The party conference has indeed been polarized on an individual level,” Kramp-Karrenbauer said.
She has already been called, disparagingly, a “mini Merkel.” As in, things will continue as they are. Well, Germany and Europe could be in for a few surprises.First, AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known, is no pushover. Politics is in her blood. After holding several ministerial posts in the state of Saarland, she scooped up 40.7 percent of the vote in 2017 to be premier for a second consecutive time. She did it by reaching out to the public and by explaining her policies—tough on security, law, and order; conservative on same sex marriage; and determined to follow Merkel’s Mitte, or centrist, pro-Europe line.
Second, just like Merkel, AKK is not going to pander to the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD). In her fiery speech in Hamburg, she insisted the party would be inclusive and would remain in the center. Merz, her rival, wanted to shift the party further to the Right to regain the tens of thousands of voters who defected to the AfD or the Greens in recent regional elections.
AKK’s commitment to the center is important. She wants to rebuild the CDU’s base. She wants it to regain its status as a “people’s party,” despite the trends across Europe in which the big post-1945 political parties are increasingly ceding ground to populist movements. This means AKK needs Merkel as much as Merkel needs AKK.
If it’s true that Merkel intends to see out her fourth term that expires in 2021—assuming, of course, that her coalition partners, the Social Democrats, won’t bolt before then—AKK and Merkel can play two distinct roles. AKK has to use her time to unite the party and strengthen the center. This means tackling digitization, education, housing, and investing in infrastructure. She has to debunk the AfD’s popularity that is based on protest, not policy.
As for Merkel, she is needed in Germany and Europe. She may be no strategist. But despite the pressures of realpolitik, she has consistently held a moral compass—be it on Russia, immigration, finding compromises among the EU’s bickering leaders, or holding the center. That compass is going to be needed more than ever over the coming, turbulent months, whatever happens with Brexit, France, the outcome of the European Parliament elections, and Ukraine.
About the Author
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Judy Dempsey is a nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie Europe
- Europe Needs to Hear What America is SayingCommentary
- Babiš’s Victory in Czechia Is Not a Turning Point for European PopulistsCommentary
Judy Dempsey
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Strategic Europe
- France and Germany Need Their Own Situation RoomCommentary
The Franco-German relationship is on the rocks again. But unlike previous moments of tension, the epochal changes on the world stage require that both step up investment in their bilateral ties.
Rym Momtaz
- European Security Strategy: In Search of a New AmbitionCommentary
The EU is putting together a new security strategy to meet today’s myriad challenges. But for any proposal to be effective, the union needs to grapple with its identity and ambitions.
Pierre Vimont
- The Climate Blind Spot in Europe’s New Migration PactCommentary
The EU’s new migration policy is not suited to today’s realities. With climate change increasingly becoming a driver of displacement, Europe needs to rethink its deterrence-focused approach.
Shana Tabak
- Taking the Pulse: Are Western Democracies Failing Free Speech?Commentary
The battle over free speech has taken center stage since U.S. Vice President JD Vance accused Europe of censorship. From travel bans to social media regulation, especially around the Israel-Palestine conflict, are liberal democratic governments weaponizing free speech?
Rym Momtaz, ed.
- In the Middle East, Europeans Bow Down to the United StatesCommentary
Europe seems to have accepted its sidelining in the Middle East. The EU must reassert its support for the international rules-based order and step up engagement.
Rym Momtaz