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Podcast Episode

Russia’s War Against Ukraine: Four Years and Counting

Aaron David Miller engages Eric Ciaramella, Andriy Zagorodnyuk, and Alexandra Prokopenko in a wide-ranging discussion of Russia’s war against Ukraine four years on.

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By Aaron David Miller, Eric Ciaramella, Andriy Zagorodnyuk, Alexandra Prokopenko
Published on Feb 27, 2026

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American Statecraft

The American Statecraft Program develops and advances ideas for a more disciplined U.S. foreign policy aligned with American values and cognizant of the limits of American power in a more competitive world.

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Four years on from Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war drags on, seemingly with no end in sight. The enormity and scale of death and destruction seem unfathomable, with a front line stretching 750 miles and little indication that either side has fundamentally altered the military balance of power. Negotiation under U.S. auspices in various venues and formats continue with no sign that any diplomatic pathway is imminent.  

What is the likely trajectory on the battlefield in 2026? Can Russian President Vladimir Putin wage war without end? What of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s politics and policies, including a potential upcoming election? And does the Trump Administration have a strategy to reach a ceasefire, let alone an end to the war, and on what terms?    

Aaron David Miller engages Eric Ciaramella, a senior fellow in Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program, Andriy Zagorodnyuk, a nonresident scholar in Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program and former defense minister of Ukraine, and Alexandra Prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, in a wide-ranging discussion of Russia’s war against Ukraine four years on.

Hosted by

Aaron David Miller
Senior Fellow, American Statecraft Program
Aaron David Miller

Featuring

Eric Ciaramella
Senior Fellow and Ukraine Initiative Director, Russia and Eurasia Program
Eric Ciaramella
Andriy Zagorodnyuk
Nonresident Scholar, Russia and Eurasia Program
Andriy Zagorodnyuk
Alexandra Prokopenko
Fellow, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
Alexandra Prokopenko

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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