Source: Carnegie
Originally published in Foreign
Policy magazine, Sept/Oct 2002
Once, nations were forged through "blood and iron." Today, the world
seeks to build them through conflict resolution, multilateral aid, and free
elections. But this more civilized approach has not yielded many successes.
For nation building to work, some harsh compromises are necessary-including
military coercion and the recognition that democracy is not always a realistic
goal.
"Nation Building Is a Quagmire"
Not necessarily. Nation building is difficult, but it need not become a quagmire
as long as the effort has clear goals and sufficient resources. Compare Somalia
and East Timor: The United States and the United Nations stumbled into Somalia
without a plan. As a result, what began as a humanitarian mission to feed people
starved by rival warlords became a misguided attempt at ad hoc nation building
as U.S. troops sought to capture Somali warlord Mohammed Farah Aidid. The United
States extricated itself from that quagmire by leaving Somalia to its fate in
1994, and the United Nations later did the same.
In East Timor, by contrast, the international community followed a plan and
was not dragged into a situation it could not control. Right from the start,
the United Nations sought consensus for nation building by organizing an unprecedented
plebiscite on independence from Indonesia. Learning from the mistakes of the
Balkans and elsewhere, peacekeepers (led by Australia) were authorized to use
deadly force against pro-Indonesia militias who sought to disrupt East Timor's
bid for autonomy through a campaign of violence, looting, and arson. At the
time of this writing, the East Timorese have democratically elected a new government,
which has hired more than 11,000 civil servants and retrained former guerillas
as soldiers for the country's nascent defense force. East Timor is still a construction
site, but it is not a quagmire.
"Nation Building Is About Building a Nation"
No. Nationhood, or a sense of common identity, by itself does not guarantee
the viability of a state. In Haiti, for example, citizens already share a common
identity, but the state has collapsed nevertheless. Other states are so deeply
divided along ethnic (Bosnia), religious (Northern Ireland), or clan (Somalia)
lines that forging a common identity is currently out of the question. The international
community cannot hope to make Muslims, Croats, and Serbs in Bosnia forget their
differences, nor can it compel Catholics and Protestants in Northern Ireland
to bridge the religious gulf.
Even successful states are less homogeneous than they claim. Many European
countries, such as France and Spain, grudgingly have recognized the existence
of regional cultures. In the United States, the notion of the melting pot has
been debunked, particularly as a new wave of immigrants from the developing
world has shunned outright assimilation by forming a mosaic of hyphenated Americans.
And contrary to the mythology inherited from 19th-century Europe, historical
evidence reveals that the common identity, or sense of nationhood, that exists
in many countries did not precede the state but was forged by it through the
imposition of a common language and culture in schools. The Gauls were not France's
ancestors until history textbooks decided so.
Thus, the goal of nation building should not be to impose common identities
on deeply divided peoples but to organize states that can administer their territories
and allow people to live together despite differences. And if organizing such
a state within the old internationally recognized borders does not seem possible,
the international community should admit that nation building may require the
disintegration of old states and the formation of new ones.
"Nation Building Is a Recent Idea"
Absolutely not. Take a look at how the political map of the world has changed
in every century since the collapse of the Roman Empire-that should be proof
enough that nation building has been around for quite a while. Casting a glance
at the 19th and 20th centuries will reveal that the types of nation building
with the most lasting impact on the modern world are nationalism, colonialism,
and post-World War II reconstruction.
Nationalism gave rise to most European countries that exist today. The theory
was that each nation, embodying a shared community of culture and blood, was
entitled to its own state. (In reality, though, few beyond the intellectual
and political elite shared a common identity.) This brand of nationalism led
to the reunification of Italy in 1861 and Germany in 1871 and to the breakup
of Austria-Hungary in 1918. This process of nation building was successful where
governments were relatively capable, where powerful states decided to make room
for new entrants, and where the population of new states was not deeply divided.
Germany had a capable government and succeeded so well in forging a common identity
that the entire world eventually paid for it. Yugoslavia, by contrast, failed
in its efforts, and the international community is still sorting out the mess.
Colonial powers formed dozens of new states as they conquered vast swaths of
territory, tinkered with old political and leadership structures, and eventually
replaced them with new countries and governments. Most of today's collapsed
states, such as Somalia or Afghanistan, are a product of colonial nation building.
The greater the difference between the precolonial political entities and what
the colonial powers tried to impose, the higher the rate of failure.
The transformation of West Germany and Japan into democratic states following
World War II is the most successful nation-building exercise ever undertaken
from the outside. Unfortunately, this process took place under circumstances
unlikely to be repeated elsewhere. Although defeated and destroyed, these countries
had strong state traditions and competent government personnel. West Germany
and Japan were nation-states in the literal sense of the term-they were ethnic
and cultural communities as well as political states. And they were occupied
by the U.S. military, a situation that precluded choices other than the democratic
state.
"Only War Builds Nations"
Not quite. The most successful nations, including the United States and the
countries of Europe, were built by war. These countries achieved statehood because
they developed the administrative capacity to mobilize resources and to extract
the revenue they needed to fight wars.
Some countries have been created not by their own efforts but by decisions
made by the international community. The Balkans offer unfortunate examples
of states cobbled together from pieces of defunct empires. Many African countries
exist because colonial powers chose to grant them independence. The British
Empire created most modern states in the Middle East by carving up the territory
of the defeated Ottoman Empire. The Palestinian state, if it becomes a reality,
will be another example of a state that owes its existence to an international
decision.
Such countries have been called quasi states-entities that exist legally because
they are recognized internationally but that hardly function as states in practice
because they do not have governments capable of controlling their territory.
Some quasi states succeed in retrofitting a functioning country into the legalistic
shell. The state of Israel, for example, was formed because of an international
decision, and Israel immediately demonstrated its staying power by waging a
successful war to defend its existence. But many quasi states fail and then
become collapsed states.
Today, war is not an acceptable means of state building. Instead, nation building
must be a consensual, democratic process. But such a process is not effective
against adversaries who are not democratic, who have weapons, and who are determined
to use them. The world should not be fooled into thinking that it is possible
to build states without coercion. If the international community is unwilling
to allow states to be rebuilt by wars, it must provide the military muscle in
the form of a sufficiently strong peacekeeping force. Like it or not, military
might is a necessary component of state building.
"Nation Building Is Not a Task for the 82nd Airborne"
Maybe not, but it's certainly a task for a strong military force with U.S.
participation. Current White House National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice
had a point when she quipped during the 2000 presidential campaign that the
82nd Airborne has more important tasks than "escorting kids to kindergarten."
But no one ever said that the primary task of U.S. troops should be babysitting.
If the international community does not want to give war a chance by allowing
adversaries to fight until someone prevails, then it has to establish control
through a military presence willing to use deadly force. And if nation building
is in the interests of the United States (as the Bush administration has reluctantly
concluded), then the United States must participate in imposing that control.
It is not enough just to participate in the initial effort (in the war fought
from the sky), because what counts is what happens on the ground afterward.
Newly formed states need long-term plans that go beyond the recent mission statement
outlined by one U.S. diplomat: "We go in, we hunt down terrorists, and
we go out as if we'd never been there." Even if the United States succeeds
in eliminating the last pockets of the Taliban and al Qaeda in Afghanistan,
Americans could face another threat in a few years. And although warring armies
are no longer active in Bosnia, the country would splinter apart if international
troops went home.
The United States does not have to take the central role in peacekeeping operations,
but U.S. participation is important because the country is the most powerful
member of the international community. Otherwise, the United States sends the
message that it doesn't care what happens next-and in doing so, it undermines
fragile new governments and encourages the emergence of feuding factions and
warlords.
"The International Community Knows How to Build Nations but Lacks Political
Will"
It has neither the will nor the way. Many of the nation-building methods used
in the past are inconceivable today, but the international community has yet
to find effective substitutes. For instance, the first step colonial powers
took when engaging in nation building was "pacification," invariably
a bloody undertaking described by the British writer Rudyard Kipling as "the
savage wars of peace." In today's gentler world of nation building, such
violent means are fortunately unacceptable. Instead, peacemakers usually try
to mediate agreements among rival factions, demobilize combatants, and then
reintegrate them in civilian life-a theoretically good idea that rarely works
in practice.
Political will for state reconstruction is also in short supply nowadays. That's
hardly surprising, given that countries expected to help rebuild nations are
the same ones that until recently were accused of neoimperialism. Sierra Leoneans
today welcome the British peacekeeping force with open arms and even wax nostalgic
about the old days of British rule. But they revolted against British colonialism
in the 1950s, and not so long ago, they condemned it as the root cause of all
their problems. Should we be surprised that the British are, at best, ambivalent
about their role?
And even when the international community demonstrates the will to undertake
nation building, it's not always able to figure out who should shoulder the
burden. The international community is an unwieldy entity with no single center
and lots of contradictions. It comprises the major world powers, with the United
States as the dominant agent in some situations and as a reluctant participant
in others. In Afghanistan, for instance, the United States wants to have complete
control over war operations but refuses to have anything to do with peacekeeping.
Meanwhile, the multilateral organization that by its mandate should play the
dominant role in peacekeeping and state reconstruction-the United Nations-is
the weakest and most divided of all.
"NGOs Play a Key Role in Nation Building"
Yes, but only when a functioning state exists. Large international nongovernmental
organizations (ngos), such as Oxfam or care, are vital in distributing humanitarian
assistance in collapsed states. They go into high-risk, lawless regions where
international agencies and bilateral donors are unwilling to operate. But these
organizations can also become part of the problem. In Somalia, for instance,
protection money paid by international ngos to gain safe passage for food and
medical supplies financed the purchase of weapons by warlords and contributed
to the escalation of violence.
To operate effectively, international and national ngos need the stability
that only states can provide. These organizations must also coordinate their
activities with states so as not to undermine reconstruction efforts. For example,
ngos can play an essential role in administering healthcare in countries where
the government has little outreach, but they can also create havoc if they insist
on operating independently of the central government and of each other. That's
what happened in Mozambique during the 1980s, when ngos diverted funds from
the public sector and fragmented the national health system.
In Afghanistan right now there is considerable tension between the central
government (which has little capacity to deliver humanitarian relief and services
but feels that it should coordinate the effort) and international ngos (which
have greater capacity and experience). For the time being, ngos are the most
effective channel for delivering aid, but if government institutions are not
allowed to take more long-term responsibility, nation building will fail.
"Nation Building Should Be Limited to Strategically Important States"
Only if anyone can determine which ones they are. "No sane person opposes
nation-building in places that count," writes conservative columnist Charles
Krauthammer. "The debate is about nation-building in places that don't."
But this type of reasoning eventually forced the United States to fight a war
in Afghanistan, a country deemed so unimportant after the Soviets departed that
it was left to become a battleground for warlords and a safe haven for al Qaeda.
In 1994, the United States abandoned strategically insignificant Somalia, too,
only to start worrying after September 11, 2001, whether that country had also
been infiltrated by terrorist networks.
For most countries, strategic significance is a variable, not a constant. Certainly,
some countries, such as China, are always significant. But even countries that
appear of marginal or no importance can suddenly become crucial. Afghanistan
is not the only example. In the days of the Cold War, countries or regions suddenly
became prominent when they were befriended by the Soviet Union. "salt,"
then National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski declared in 1980, "was
buried in the sands of the Ogaden"-referring to the cooling of U.S.-Soviet
relations when the countries were dragged in to support opposite sides in a
war between Ethiopia and Somalia. A few years later, the Reagan administration
sent people scrambling for small-scale maps of Lebanon by declaring that Souk
el-Gharb, an obscure crossroads town, was vital to U.S. security.
The lesson by now should be clear: No country is so insignificant that it can
never become important. So, by all means, let us focus our efforts only on strategically
important countries, as long as we can predict which ones they are. (Good luck.)
"The Goal of Nation Building Is a Democratic State"
Let us not indulge in fantasy. It is politically correct to equate state reconstruction
with democracy building. Indeed, the international community has a one-size-fits-all
model for democratic reconstruction, so that plans devised for Afghanistan bear
a disturbing resemblance to those designed for the Democratic Republic of the
Congo (drc). This model usually envisages a negotiated settlement to the conflict
and the holding of a national conference of major domestic groups (the loya
jirga in Afghanistan and the Inter-Congolese Dialogue in the drc) to reach an
agreement on the structure of the political system, followed by elections. In
addition to these core activities, the model calls for subsidiary but crucial
undertakings, beginning with the demobilization of former combatants and the
development of a new national army, then extending to reforming the judiciary,
restructuring the civil service, and establishing a central bank-thus creating
all the institutions deemed necessary to run a modern state.
This model is enormously expensive, requiring major commitments of money and
personnel on the part of the international community. As a result, this approach
has only been implemented seriously in the case of Bosnia, the only country
where the international community has made an open-ended commitment of money
and power to see the job through to the end. Six years into the process, progress
is excruciatingly slow and not even a glimmer of light is waiting at the end
of the tunnel. But elsewhere in the world, including Afghanistan, the international
community prescribes this model without providing the resources. The most obvious
missing resource in Afghanistan is a robust international peacekeeping force.
The issue here is not simply political will. The resources are just not available.
Consider the list of current nation-building projects: Bosnia, Kosovo, Afghanistan,
Sierra Leone, the drc, and Burundi. Plus, Somalia is again on the international
radar screen. If an agreement is reached, nation-building efforts will begin
in Sudan. And should the Bush administration succeed in dislodging Iraqi President
Saddam Hussein, the reconstruction of Iraq might be forthcoming. Meanwhile,
the international community has yet to cough up the nearly $400 million it pledged
to fund the budget of the nascent Afghanistan government.
Consequently, the international community has to set more modest goals for
nation building and then tailor those goals to each country's reality. Unpleasant
compromises are inevitable. If the international community is not going to disarm
Afghanistan's warlords, it will have to deal with them in other ways because
they will not just disappear on their own. It has to make at least some of them
less dangerous and disruptive by using aid to co-opt them into the government.
If nations do not want to occupy Somalia and impose state structures on warring
clans, they should consider helping the regional governments that have emerged
to fill the void, beginning with Somaliland. In some cases, such as in the drc,
the international community should either accept the disintegration of the country
or allow nondemocratic leaders to use force to put the state back together.
These are all unpalatable choices. But those who believe that the international
community knows how to turn collapsed states into democracies should think again.