• Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Global logoCarnegie lettermark logo
DemocracyIran
  • Donate
{
  "authors": [
    "Rose Gottemoeller"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "ctw",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "russia",
  "programs": [
    "Russia and Eurasia"
  ],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "Caucasus",
    "Russia"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Foreign Policy",
    "Nuclear Policy"
  ]
}

Source: Getty

In The Media

Reading Russia Right

President Vladimir Putin has sharply criticized the United States and NATO and suspended Russian participation in the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty. Russians are clearly frustrated with what they perceive to be a lack of respect for their concerns, but Putin's omissions are important clues to Russian tactics in this scrap with the United States.

Link Copied
By Rose Gottemoeller
Published on May 4, 2007
Program mobile hero image

Program

Russia and Eurasia

The Russia and Eurasia Program continues Carnegie’s long tradition of independent research on major political, societal, and security trends in and U.S. policy toward a region that has been upended by Russia’s war against Ukraine.  Leaders regularly turn to our work for clear-eyed, relevant analyses on the region to inform their policy decisions.

Learn More

Source: The New York Times

President Vladimir Putin's criticism of the United States and NATO puts one in mind of an alpha dog at the junkyard gate - tough, unrelenting, pugnacious.

The trend started with his Feb. 10th speech in Munich, and in Moscow on April 26th his annual address to Parliament carried it forward. He railed against foreigners trying to change the economic and political system, even the culture, of the Russian Federation and called for a new law to prevent such imprecations. He also suspended Russian participation in a key arms- control agreement, the Conventional Forces in Europe treaty.

This line of attack has been difficult to stomach because it seems so unjustified. Russians are clearly frustrated with what they perceive to be a lack of respect for their concerns, especially regarding the proposed deployment of American missile defenses in Poland and the Czech Republic. But to insist that the United States and NATO are the enemy?

The argument contradicts Russia's own interests, never mind that it has little link to reality.

But the tough dog didn't bark on every subject, and the omissions are important clues to Russian tactics in this junkyard scrap with the United States.

Putin had little to say, for example, about the defense budget and procurement of high-technology weapon systems. Instead, he focused on providing apartments for the troops.

In the 2004 election year, Putin flew in fighter planes and went to sea on nuclear submarines, promising the armed forces a range of new, modern weapons. It was his way of cementing his authority within the Ministry of Defense. Nowadays, with his authority well in place, he can afford to promise apartments to the troops and say no more.

Another issue he left unaddressed was the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. For over a year, Russian military spokesmen have been threatening to withdraw from this treaty, often as a response to United States missile defenses but sometimes to bring Russian missile deployments in line with neighboring countries. The Russians have complained, for example, that the Chinese are allowed to have intermediate-range missiles but they are not.

Putin might have launched another attack on the missile treaty in his speech. Instead, he took a swipe at Conventional Forces in Europe treaty, but in a way that left the door open for talks to solve a long standoff with NATO, which wants Russia to withdraw its troops from Georgia and Moldova. This is a problem that can be resolved without dealing a major blow to security in Europe.

Not so withdrawal from the missile treaty: Here Russia would begin a slide toward ruin of the nuclear arms-control system put in place in the closing decade of the Cold War. So Putin had good reason to stay silent on the missile treaty, and he had the backing to do so. The Russian debate on the treaty is subtly shifting, with new attention to the missiles Russia will really need in the future.

Some Russians, for example, are arguing that the newest Russian intercontinental ballistic missile, the Topol, is already in production and could easily handle intermediate-range missile tasks as a kind of "universal missile." Other experts are arguing in favor of modern supersonic cruise missiles, claiming they are cheaper to produce and perfectly capable of responding to intermediate-range threats against Russia.

Putin thus has found a way to work the issue within his system, without sacrificing Russia's option to lead on nonproliferation policy. The Kremlin has done so to good effect in recent months, working with its negotiating partners - even that "enemy" the United States - to advance issues with Iran and North Korea. Putin has left himself room to maneuver.

Washington and Moscow should be looking for new openings, which is difficult with both sides trading barbs the media can magnify.

Topic No. 1 should be Russia's concern about missile defenses in Europe. Washington has worked this issue well in recent weeks, offering Moscow a chance to participate in technical and operational aspects of the system. The fact that Russia is not ready to say yes should be no deterrent. Reversing a Russian policy so loudly declared will take time.

Washington can speed up the process by offering up some confidence-building measures. One option would be to look again at measures the two countries have already negotiated, since the Russian system responds well to legal agreements. For example, in 1997 the United States and Russia negotiated the New York Protocols to improve Russia's confidence in the nature of the U.S. national missile defense system. These measures could be re-examined to see whether they can be modified to assuage Russia's concerns about defenses in Europe.

We should not forget our long history of working through problems of even the most sensitive kind. If we can get out of this junkyard, we should really be able to make progress.

This article also appeared in the International Herald Tribune, with the title, "Tough Dog, Selective Bark." 

About the Author

Rose Gottemoeller

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program

Rose Gottemoeller is a nonresident senior fellow in Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Program. She also serves as lecturer at Stanford University’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution. Ambassador Gottemoeller served as the deputy secretary general of NATO from 2016 to 2019. 

    Recent Work

  • Q&A
    The Spectacular Rise of the “Bad Boys” of NATO During the Ukraine Crisis
      • Alexander Gabuev
      • +2

      Judy Dempsey, Alexander Gabuev, Rose Gottemoeller, …

  • Q&A
    Russia Is Updating Their Nuclear Weapons: What Does That Mean for the Rest of Us?

      Rose Gottemoeller

Rose Gottemoeller
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program
Rose Gottemoeller
Foreign PolicyNuclear PolicyCaucasusRussia

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

  • Tourists taking photos in front of the White House on a sunny day
    Paper
    Squandering Attraction: How the Second Trump Administration is Undermining American Soft Power

    Soft power on its own is insufficient to meet U.S. national security needs, but hard power also has its limits. Soft power allows for more effective and efficient use of hard power than hard power alone, as it encourages cooperation and compliance which deters the need for hard power.

      • Sarah Yerkes

      Sarah Yerkes

  • Commentary
    Diwan
    The Israel Lobby, U.S. Foreign Policy, and Domestic Liberties

    In an interview, Ian Lustick and Eli Clifton discuss their new book on why a prominent ally has so much influence in America.

      Michael Young

  • Two men sit on red chairs in front of a window with a NYC city skyline.
    Paper
    AI Breakout Capacity: A Middle-Power Path Between Racing and Dependence

    Germany, India, and other middle powers can’t build frontier AI alone, and they risk being cut off if they depend on the United States or China. The way through is to build the capacity for a frontier sprint while hoping never to use it.

      • Anton Leicht

      Anton Leicht, Sam Winter-Levy

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    How the Kremlin Achieved Its Latest Implausible Election Results

    Sergei Kiriyenko used Russia’s parliamentary vote to further hone his strategy of corporate mobilization that is designed to maximize votes for United Russia.  

      Andrey Pertsev

  • Commentary
    Emissary
    What to Watch When Trump and Xi Meet in Washington

    The real test may come after the leaders leave the room.

      • Sheena Chestnut Greitens
      • Oriana Skylar Mastro's headshot
      • +1

      Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Oriana Skylar Mastro, Yukon Huang, …

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carnegie global logo, stacked
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC, 20036-2103Phone: 202 483 7600
  • Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
  • Donate
  • Programs
  • Events
  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Contact
  • Annual Reports
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Government Resources
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.