• Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
Carnegie Global logoCarnegie lettermark logo
DemocracyIran
  • Donate
Rebranding Ankara’s Foreign Policy

Source: Getty

Article
Carnegie Europe

Rebranding Ankara’s Foreign Policy

Faced with the consequences of the Arab Spring, Turkey's foreign policy is changing. This has significant consequences for Turkey’s relations with its neighbors, as well as its partners in the West.

Link Copied
By Sinan Ülgen
Published on Jan 12, 2012

Over the past month, anti-Ankara rhetoric has become a common theme among Turkey’s southern neighbors. In fact, wartime excepted, few countries have seen the kind of surprisingly rapid degradation in neighborly relations that Turkey is experiencing today.

Hussain Ibrahimi, the head of the Iranian parliament’s foreign policy and national security committee, stated that if Iran were ever to be attacked, its first retaliatory strike would be against the missile defense early warning radar site in Eastern Turkey. Syria’s beleaguered president Bashar al-Assad has announced measures targeting trade and transport links with Turkey. And in an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki complained openly about Turkey’s blatant interference in his country’s domestic affairs.

These confrontational attitudes signal the collapse of Turkey’s much vaunted “zero problems with neighbors” policy. But how can this radical transformation in Ankara’s regional relations be explained?

The culprit is the Arab Spring, or rather the unintended consequences of the Arab popular revolts.

Traditionally, Turkish policy was driven by the principle of noninterference in the domestic affairs of other countries. Acting as the “Middle Empire” of the Middle East, Turkey favored maintaining good relations with neighboring regimes while turning a blind eye to their gross violations of human rights. It was often claimed that Turkey, as a developing country and an emerging power, did not have the luxury to act like the West and chastise its neighbors for their disregard of democratic standards. As a result, Ankara even welcomed Omar al Bashir, disregarding the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrant against the Sudanese president.

The “zero problems with neighbors” approach was ideally suited to this policy of benign neglect. It allowed Turkey to nurture frictionless relationships with the authoritarian leaders of the Arab world. But with the Arab wave of popular revolts, this policy became unsustainable. As an ambitious regional player and a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Turkey could not appear to continue supporting oppressive regimes.

Faced with the consequences of the Arab Spring, Turkey is taking a new tack. Demonstrating its ability to shift its foreign policy priorities in response to changing geopolitical conditions, Ankara adopted entirely new foreign policy rhetoric that highlights Turkey’s mission to protect the weak and oppressed of the region. Turkey is branding itself as the champion of the victimized in the Middle East.

Gone are references to zero problems. Instead Turkey is championing democratic transition, positioning itself at the vanguard of the international community. In a clear departure from established diplomatic practice, Ankara is for instance giving overt support to the main opposition group in Syria, the Syrian National Council, and is harboring the leadership of the Free Syrian Army, a rebel militia.

Ankara’s positioning of itself as an ardent supporter of pro-democracy movements across the Arab world is having significant consequences for Turkey’s relations with its neighbors as well as its partners in the West.

This new approach is at the core of the rising tension in Ankara’s relations with nonreformists in the region. It is not only driving a wedge between Ankara and Damascus but also causing friction with Tehran. This wedge is likely to deepen in coming months as Turkey consolidates the pro-democracy proclivities in its regional vision and discourse.

At the same time, however, this fundamental policy reversal is hastening Turkey’s realignment toward the West.  The rebranding of Turkish foreign policy in the wake of the demise of the “zero problems with neighbors” approach is radically transforming Ankara’s view of the balance in its relations with the West and its neighbors. It is no coincidence that, compared to the Iranian nuclear-fuel-swap deal it engineered with Brazil last year, Turkey’s Syria policy is far better coordinated with its partners in the West.

In this new era, which will be defined by the challenge of managing the consequences of the Arab Spring, policymakers in Ankara will increasingly rely on their upgraded relations with their transatlantic partners to steer Turkish foreign policy in a visibly more confrontational regional environment.

About the Author

Sinan Ülgen

Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe

Sinan Ülgen is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on Turkish foreign policy, transatlantic relations, international trade, economic security, and digital policy.

    Recent Work

  • Commentary
    The EU Equivocating on Turkey Is Bad Geopolitics

      Sinan Ülgen

  • Q&A
    Can the EU Achieve Its Tech Ambitions?

      Raluca Csernatoni, Sinan Ülgen

Sinan Ülgen
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Sinan Ülgen
Middle EastEuropeTürkiye

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Taking the Pulse: Was it Right to Boycott Eurovision?

    Five countries staged the biggest political boycott in Eurovision history over Israel’s participation. With the FIFA World Cup and other sporting or cultural touchstones on the horizon, are boycotts effective?

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz, ed.

  • Commentary
    Carnegie Politika
    Brussels and Baku Are Talking Again: What Next?

    Azerbaijan’s relations with the EU appear to be going from strength to strength after several years in the deep freeze following the military escalation in Karabakh in 2023 and Azerbaijan’s bitter fallout with France and several other EU member states.

      Shujaat Ahmadzada

  • Commentary
    Strategic Europe
    Trump Turns NATO into a Tool of Coercion

    The full list of humiliations Europe has endured since Donald Trump returned to the White House makes for grim reading. But Washington’s adversarial approach to its allies undermines its own power base.

      • Rym Momtaz

      Rym Momtaz

  • Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella on stage during a Rassemblement National RN rally For la France du Travail in Macon in Saone et Loire France May 1 2026
    Paper
    The French Far Right’s Foreign Policy: Big Ambitions, Uncertain Direction

    The National Rally’s electoral strength, coupled with its internal fragility at a crucial political juncture, contributes to foreign policy vagueness.

      Catherine Fieschi

  • Article
    Continental Asia and the Rise of Portfolio Politics

    “Central Asia” as an analytical category is itself part of the problem. The term is a Soviet administrative inheritance, drawn along lines that served the convenience of Moscow. The Central Asian states the Soviets named no longer see themselves through this category alone and are not aligning across political blocs but are instead building external partnerships sector by sector, assigning different partners to different functions.

      Jennifer B. Murtazashvili

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carnegie global logo, stacked
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC, 20036-2103Phone: 202 483 7600
  • Research
  • Emissary
  • About
  • Experts
  • Donate
  • Programs
  • Events
  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Contact
  • Annual Reports
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
  • Government Resources
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.