A discussion of how relevant political players in Arab countries among regimes, opposition movements, and external actors have adapted ten years after the onset of the Arab Spring.
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
The Carnegie Middle East Program has worked for decades to understand tides of reform in the Arab world. While the uprisings of the Arab Spring have overwhelmingly failed to change Arab politics in a sustained manner, the questions of how Arab states govern and how Arab populations experience governance remain. Through our ongoing research, we seek to understand governance as multi-faceted and fundamental to the domestic and foreign policy of Arab states.
Russia’s outreach to the region has successfully exploited regimes’ frustrations with the West. Yet it has encountered difficulties in navigating the complex interrelations and rivalries.
When conflict-affected countries have a democratic opening, U.S. policymakers need to better understand and incorporate the many factors at play—local actors and power structures, emerging powers and their interests, and competing U.S. interests, among others.