Four scenarios for an uncertain future.
Alasdair Phillips-Robins, Teddy Tawil, Sam Winter-Levy
The innovations emerging at the frontier of artificial intelligence are poised to create historic opportunities for humanity but also raise complex policy challenges. As the epicenter of global AI innovation, California has a unique opportunity to continue supporting developments in frontier AI while addressing substantial risks that could have far-reaching consequences for the state and beyond.
Rishi Bommasani
Fellow, Technology and International Affairs, and Co-Director, China AI Initiative
Scott Singer is a fellow and co-director of the China AI Initiative at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where his work explores the geopolitics and governance of advanced AI systems. He specializes in China’s AI ecosystem, with a particular focus on U.S.-China AI dialogue and diplomacy, U.S. and Chinese approaches to AI strategy, and comparative approaches to AI safety and risk management.
Ruth E. Appel
Sarah Cen
A. Feder Cooper
Elena Cryst
Lindsey A. Gailmard
Founding Director, Carnegie California
Ian Klaus is the founding director of Carnegie California. He is a leading scholar on the nexus of urbanization, geopolitics, and global challenges, with extensive experience as a practitioner of subnational diplomacy.
Meredith M. Lee
Inioluwa Deborah Raji
Anka Reuel
Drew Spence
Alexander Wan
Angelina Wang
Daniel Zhang
Daniel E. Ho
Percy Liang
Dawn Song
Joseph E. Gonzalez
Nonresident Scholar, Technology and International Affairs Program
Jonathan Zittrain is a nonresident scholar in the Technology and International Affairs Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Jennifer Tour Chayes
Former Carnegie President (2021-2026)
Mariano-Florentino (Tino) Cuéllar was previously the tenth president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. A former justice of the Supreme Court of California, he has served three U.S. presidential administrations at the White House and in federal agencies, and was the Stanley Morrison Professor at Stanford University, where he held appointments in law, political science, and international affairs and led the university’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies.
Li Fei-Fei
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
Four scenarios for an uncertain future.
Alasdair Phillips-Robins, Teddy Tawil, Sam Winter-Levy
It would provide a golden opportunity to reconsider what success looks like.
Michael Mazarr
China has showcased its engineering prowess with small modular reactor demonstration projects. But turning these technological achievements into commercial success will be a greater challenge.
Tong Zhao
Scholars and policymakers increasingly use ecological metaphors such as “information environment” and “information ecosystem” to describe contemporary informational spaces. Ecology offers more than loanwords. Its concepts and frameworks can help researchers understand relationships among people, technology, content, and society.
Alicia Wanless, Claire Wardle, David Scales
Despite public disputes over trade and immigration, the strategic partnership’s foundations remain sturdy.
Sameer Lalwani