- +1
Amr Hamzawy, Andrew Leber, Eric Lob, …
{
"authors": [
"Amr Hamzawy"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [
"Arab Awakening"
],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"North Africa",
"Egypt"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform"
]
}Source: Getty
Change or Status Quo?
The resignation of President Hosni Mubarak is only the first step in Egypt’s fight for meaningful democratic change. It remains to be seen whether structural change and real democracy will be implemented in the country.
Source: Al-Jazeera
Five days after President Hosni Mubarak’s resignation, the fight for meaningful change in Egypt is far from over. On Al-Jazeera’s Inside Story, Carnegie’s Amr Hamzawy examined the achievements of the Egyptian revolution and the many challenges that lie ahead.
Hamzawy stated that a “genuine revolution” has taken place in Egypt. However, Mubarak’s resignation is only the first step towards success and it remains to be seen whether structural change and real democracy will actually be implemented. The institutionalized national dialogue needed to promote real change is limited by deep-rooted authoritarianism and the strong power of the military establishment, Hamzawy said.
Transitional periods are always “messy and complicated”, Hamzawy added. As one example, he cited the contradiction between the popular desire to write a new Constitution and the ruling military council’s six months deadline to transfer power to a democratically elected civilian government. Hamzawy suggested that the transitional period should therefore be progressive: first, the 1971 Constitution should be amended and then, after real democratic elections, the legitimate Parliament could write a new Constitution.
There are several crucial questions that need to be raised and answered throughout the transitional period, Hamzawy said. For example, what will become of the Constitution and the current cabinet, composed of corrupted and unpopular figures? How will the military rulers ensure a genuine participatory transition, including civil society organizations and trade unions?
Considering all these challenges ahead, Hamzawy expressed concern over the absence of a clear trajectory to ensure that the military will leave power after establishing the foundations of a democratic system. Indeed, he warned that military rule is fundamentally anti-democratic; no country has ever succeeded in implementing democracy through military rule.
About the Author
Director, Middle East Program
Amr Hamzawy is a senior fellow and the director of the Carnegie Middle East Program. His research and writings focus on Egypt’s and other middle powers’ involvement in regional security in the Middle East, particularly through collective diplomacy and multilateral conflict resolution
- The Myriad Problems With the Iran CeasefireQ&A
- Amid Iran War, Gulf Countries Slow the Pace of ReformsArticle
Sarah Yerkes, Amr Hamzawy
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Egypt’s Discrete Role in the Ceasefire with IranCommentary
Cairo’s efforts send a message to the United States and the region that it still has a place at the diplomatic table.
Angie Omar
- Is Frustration With Armenia’s Pashinyan Enough to Bring the Pro-Russia Opposition to Power?Commentary
It’s true that many Armenians would vote for anyone just to be rid of Pashinyan, whom they blame for the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh, but the pro-Russia opposition is unlikely to be able to channel that frustration into an electoral victory.
Mikayel Zolyan
- How to Join the EU in Three Easy StepsCommentary
Montenegro and Albania are frontrunners for EU enlargement in the Western Balkans, but they can’t just sit back and wait. To meet their 2030 accession ambitions, they must make a strong positive case.
Dimitar Bechev, Iliriana Gjoni
- Climate Change, Gender, and Inequality in Morocco’s Souss-Massa RegionArticle
For Morocco, integrating gender into climate governance is not simply a matter of social justice. It is a strategic imperative for effective adaptation.
Fadwa Rajoauni
- The Myriad Problems With the Iran CeasefireCommentary
Four Middle East experts analyze the region’s reactions and next steps.
- +1
Amr Hamzawy, Andrew Leber, Eric Lob, …