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{
  "authors": [
    "Frederic Wehrey"
  ],
  "type": "legacyinthemedia",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
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  "collections": [
    "Arab Awakening"
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  "englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "MEP",
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    "Middle East",
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}

Source: Getty

In The Media

Syria's Increasingly Brutal Civil War

As violence continues to spiral out of control in Syria, all signs point to a protracted struggle for the future of Syria.

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By Frederic Wehrey
Published on Aug 1, 2012
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Middle East

The Middle East Program in Washington combines in-depth regional knowledge with incisive comparative analysis to provide deeply informed recommendations. With expertise in the Gulf, North Africa, Iran, and Israel/Palestine, we examine crosscutting themes of political, economic, and social change in both English and Arabic.

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Source: BBC

Speaking on the BBC, Frederic Wehrey commented that both the Syrian regime and the rebels have become increasingly brutal in their tactics. After the rebels' assassination of top officials in Damascus, Assad has decidedly increased the draconian crackdown against the protesters and rebel forces. Wehrey noted that “this is a regime that has ruled through fear and an iron fist. Assad is calculating that if he shows any sign of capitulation or weakness that it’s his downfall, it’s a slippery slope.” Moreover, Assad may believe that this civil war is still winnable, Wehrey added. He is surrounded by his own supporters and views himself and his regime as the protectors of the Alawi community. He is protected by the elite Republican Guard Corps, commanded by his brother. With both the rebels and the regimes forces continuing their brutality and evolving their tactics, Wehrey concluded that, for the moment, all signs point to a protracted struggle for the future of Syria.

About the Author

Frederic Wehrey

Senior Fellow, Middle East Program

Frederic Wehrey is a senior fellow in the Middle East Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where his research focuses on governance, conflict, and security in Libya, North Africa, and the Persian Gulf.

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Frederic Wehrey
Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Frederic Wehrey
Political ReformSecurityMiddle EastSyriaLevant

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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