Lilia Shevtsova
{
"authors": [
"Lilia Shevtsova"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center",
"programAffiliation": "",
"programs": [],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"North America",
"United States",
"Russia",
"Western Europe"
],
"topics": [
"Political Reform",
"Democracy"
]
}Source: Getty
Crowning a Winner in the Post-Crimea World
Does liberal democracy depend on the existence of ideological and civilizational rivals to spur it into cycles of reinvention and renewal?
Source: American Interest
Several recent essays on Western foreign policy and the state of liberal democracy—by Robert Kagan, Francis Fukuyama, and Walter Russell Mead—offer an excellent departure point for answering several questions about the post-Cold War period: Were the liberal hopes of those times justified? How did things veer so far off track? And why? Their essays also allow me to pose two follow-up questions: Can (and should) the West rethink its paradigm of retrenchment and “nation-building at home”? And can the liberal democracies reinvent themselves absent a strong global competitor and rival?
It’s a bitter irony that Vladimir Putin’s puncturing of the post-Cold War order has had the secondary, beneficial effect of getting the ball rolling on the painful process of rethinking. Putin has helped us see that the old order was doomed to fail in any case; it had become an imitation order, wrapped in layer upon layer of illusion and wishful thinking. Instead of becoming a framework for ensuring the victory of liberal democracy, the post-Cold War settlement turned into a kind of fuzzy, postmodern arrangement, full of contradictions and thinly veiled hypocrisies. It was based on the premises that Russia would be a cooperative partner with the West and that liberal democracy no longer had an ideological rival. Things never turned out this way. “It was a beautiful plan, but it hasn’t worked out”, writes Mead about Obama’s foreign policy; one could say the same thing about the Western policy over the past two decades.Of course, we need to remember that after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the West took a nap, having lost interest in great ideas and “grand designs.” Although the liberal democracies had no global adversary for the past twenty years, they proved unable to reform an international governance system (the Security Council, first of all) that was based on the legacy of the Second World War and a balance of forces that ceased to exist with the demise of the Soviet Union. The West also failed to revitalize the liberal democratic model; today it seems dysfunctional. It is becoming increasingly less appealing to the outside world, and it has also failed to prevent the global authoritarian march. In fact, the liberal democracies failed to recognize both when and how the authoritarian “Central Powers”, as Mead has called them, began their attempts to change the international rules of the game.
To be sure, the West can still take pride in the fact that it has no real competitors—but isn’t that the primary problem? ...
Read the full text of this article in the American Interest.
About the Author
Former Senior Associate, Russian Domestic Politics and Political Institutions Program, Moscow Center
Shevtsova chaired the Russian Domestic Politics and Political Institutions Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, dividing her time between Carnegie’s offices in Washington, DC, and Moscow. She had been with Carnegie since 1995.
- Putin Has Fought His Way Into a CornerIn The Media
- How Long Russians Will Believe in Fairy Tale?Commentary
Lilia Shevtsova
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Trump Can Play Kingmaker in Latin America. He Can’t Build Lasting Influence.Commentary
In Colombia and elsewhere in the region, the United States is trying to shape election outcomes—but at what cost?
Oliver Stuenkel, Adrian Feinberg
- Iran War Fallout Gifts Putin Diplomatic Victory at ASEAN SummitCommentary
Russia looks set to reap economic benefits from closer ties with Southeast Asian countries that are keen to find reliable energy suppliers and diversify trade ties.
Alexander Gabuev
- The Trump-Shaped Hole in the European Security StrategyCommentary
There is an elephant in the room when it comes to the EU’s upcoming security strategy: Donald Trump. Unless European leaders acknowledge the depth of the transatlantic crisis, true autonomy will remain out of reach.
Stefan Lehne
- Simmering U.S.-Iran Conflict Is Moscow’s Ideal OutcomeCommentary
Ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East allows Moscow to both increase its influence in Tehran and continue to enjoy the financial windfall of higher oil prices.
Nikita Smagin
- A Kenya Technology Prosperity Deal Could Help Washington Secure Durable AI Partnerships with AfricaArticle
To carry out its global AI agenda, Washington will need strategic relationships with emerging markets in Africa, starting with Kenya.
Jane Munga