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Economic Integration in the Time of Turmoil

Economic integration is crucial in order to achieve rapid and sustainable growth. However, instabilities in the Middle East and North Africa and the recent plunge in oil prices may stifle economic progress.

published by
OCP Policy Center
 on May 18, 2015

Source: OCP Policy Center

Integration into the global economy is essential for rapid and sustained growth, but the countries of the MENA region remain among the least integrated, and were so even before the Arab uprising and the spreading turmoil. To fight poverty and create jobs, the MENA countries must engage in a broad-ranging process of reforms designed to enhance their competitiveness. Trade agreements can provide an important supporting role to this effort, but only if they are part of a wider process of domestic re-forms and they are truly ambitious in scope.

The weak trade performance of the MENA region has been extensively documented and analyzed. Beginning in the early 1990’s, the writer has worked at irregular inter-vals on some 7 or 8 separate examinations of the econo-mic integration of the MENA region and of individual countries in the region, and it is frankly distressing how little the story on trade has changed.

There is no doubt that a truly ambitious trade initiative – part of a broad country-driven reform effort designed to improve the business environment and boost productivity – and supported by the region’s main trading partners through enhanced market access and funds - would boost the region’s development prospects. Such a trade initia-tive, one that could conceivably be comparable in scope and ambition to that which propelled the EU’s accession countries, would also lead to accelerated integration with-in the region, bind the region more closely with its Euro-pean neighbors and the United States, create jobs and help reestablish the region’s badly frayed social contract...

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This paper was originally published by the OCP Policy Center.

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