Nuclear Nonproliferation at a Crossroads

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In The Media

Nuclear Nonproliferation at a Crossroads

Future nonproliferation diplomacy will be shaped by tension between states seeking to preserve the existing system, states desiring reform, and states that ignore or neglect the rules.

By Toby Dalton

Published on May 31, 2021

Diplomacy and the Future of World Order

About the Author

Toby Dalton

Senior Fellow and Co-director, Nuclear Policy Program

Toby Dalton is a senior fellow and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment. An expert on nonproliferation and nuclear energy, his work addresses regional security challenges and the evolution of the global nuclear order.

Recent Work

Commentary
A Nuclear Odyssey at Sea
- Jamie Kwong, Toby Dalton
Paper
Demystifying the Nuclear Threshold
- Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton

Nuclear Policy Arms Control

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Commentary
Emissary
A Nuclear Odyssey at Sea
Nuclear and maritime communities face a long and challenging journey to deploy commercial nuclear applications at sea.
Jamie Kwong, Toby Dalton
Research
Coercive Nuclear Threats Under Domestic Dissonance
A look at how public opinion influences the credibility of coercive nuclear threats,and how it enables and constrains strategies of nuclear coercion.
Lauren Sukin, Samuel Seitz
Commentary
Emissary
What We Know About the U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal
Despite the agreement’s uncertainty, it’s still a significant development in regional and nuclear policy.
Andrew Leber, Jane Darby Menton
Paper
Demystifying the Nuclear Threshold
The nuclear weapons threshold is increasingly important for proliferation strategy and policy. Policymakers should better understand the implications of the threshold phenomenon in the current international security environment and plausible strategies to deal with the growing challenge that it presents.
Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton
Paper
Nuclear Weapons and the Future of American Power
It seems likely that, no matter what, the power of the U.S. nuclear arsenal will face erosion, not least in the credibility of its commitments to defend allies and the political durability of those alliances.
James M. Acton, Ankit Panda

More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Black-and-white photo of the nuclear cargo ship NS Savannah.

Commentary

Emissary

A Nuclear Odyssey at Sea

Nuclear and maritime communities face a long and challenging journey to deploy commercial nuclear applications at sea.

Jamie Kwong, Toby Dalton

Research

Coercive Nuclear Threats Under Domestic Dissonance

A look at how public opinion influences the credibility of coercive nuclear threats,and how it enables and constrains strategies of nuclear coercion.

Lauren Sukin, Samuel Seitz

Commentary

Emissary

What We Know About the U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal

Despite the agreement’s uncertainty, it’s still a significant development in regional and nuclear policy.

Andrew Leber, Jane Darby Menton

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (C) visits the Natanz uranium enrichment facilities April 8, 2008

Paper

Demystifying the Nuclear Threshold

The nuclear weapons threshold is increasingly important for proliferation strategy and policy. Policymakers should better understand the implications of the threshold phenomenon in the current international security environment and plausible strategies to deal with the growing challenge that it presents.

Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton

1990s USS Pennsylvania United States Navy Nuclear Powered Ohio-Class Ballistic Missile Submarine Cruising On Ocean Surface

Paper

Nuclear Weapons and the Future of American Power

It seems likely that, no matter what, the power of the U.S. nuclear arsenal will face erosion, not least in the credibility of its commitments to defend allies and the political durability of those alliances.

James M. Acton, Ankit Panda