Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense
The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI
published by on December 4, 2024
Hoover Institution
The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI
As artificial intelligence (AI) changes how people around the world live and work, new frontiers for international collaboration, competition, and conflict are opening. AI can, for example, improve (or detract) from international cyber stability, optimize (or bias) cloud-based services, or guide the targeting of biotechnology toward great discoveries (or terrible abuses). Carnegie partners with governments, industry, academia, and civil society to anticipate and mitigate the international security challenges from AI. By confronting both the short-term (2-5 years) and medium-term (5-10 years) challenges, we hope to mitigate the most urgent risks of AI while laying the groundwork for addressing its slower and subtler effects.
The conduct of war has increasingly become a fight with a one-dimensional, digital representation of the enemy.
A global shift is taking place. Leaders recognize that tech innovation equals power, and they are marshaling their resources accordingly. Countries are working to create technological advantages for themselves at the expense of digital cooperation across borders.
The GCC states are, to varying degrees, opening up to digital finance. This is part of an effort to diversify their economies and wean themselves off U.S.-dominated monetary systems.
The EU’s recent deregulatory shift risks eroding democratic oversight and the union’s norm-setting credibility. To secure Europe’s technological sovereignty, the bloc must increase investments, develop its own digital infrastructure, and regulate dual-use AI applications.