Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense
The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI
published by on December 4, 2024
Hoover Institution
The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI
As artificial intelligence (AI) changes how people around the world live and work, new frontiers for international collaboration, competition, and conflict are opening. AI can, for example, improve (or detract) from international cyber stability, optimize (or bias) cloud-based services, or guide the targeting of biotechnology toward great discoveries (or terrible abuses). Carnegie partners with governments, industry, academia, and civil society to anticipate and mitigate the international security challenges from AI. By confronting both the short-term (2-5 years) and medium-term (5-10 years) challenges, we hope to mitigate the most urgent risks of AI while laying the groundwork for addressing its slower and subtler effects.
The war signaled critical challenges in the growing gap between the sophistication of AI deception and analysts’ ability to detect it, heralding a frightening new phase in global conflict.
U.S. efforts should position domestic AI technologies at the center of a forward-looking international engagement strategy.
The competing imperatives of control and growth have shaped Chinese AI policy since top leadership began paying close attention to AI in 2017, evolving cyclically with China’s self-perception of its relative technological capabilities and economic position.
The shrinking of civic space, the decline in digital funding, and the erosion of legitimacy are not just abstract concerns—they are existential threats to the future of democracy.