The recent record of citizen uprisings in autocracies spells caution for the hope that a new wave of Iranian protests may break the regime’s hold on power.
Thomas Carothers, McKenzie Carrier
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: March 23, 2007
In advance of Monday's public referendum in Egypt on the controversial constitutional amendments introduced by President Mubarak, experts from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace today released new analyses of the amendments and their potential impact on Egyptian politics and democratic reform.The extensive amendments have sparked a political battle in Egypt between the government, led by President Hosni Mubarak, and Egypt 's largest opposition movement, the Muslim Brotherhood. Mubarak has defended the constitutional amendments as giving greater powers to the parliament and cabinet, as well as providing increased opportunities for licensed political parties to win seats in parliament. Carnegie scholars raise concerns about the amendments, noting that while they appear to offer liberalizing reforms, many of the changes are actually more restrictive than previous constitutional provisions.
In Egypt's Controversial Constitutional Amendments: A Textual Analysis, Senior Associates Nathan J. Brown and Michele Dunne point out that the amendments actually lessen judicial supervision of elections, bypass human rights protections, empower the president to dissolve the parliament, and prevent the Muslim Brotherhood from forming a political party
In addition, Senior Associate Amr Hamzawy provides an analysis of why the amendments are being made now in Egypt's Controversial Constitutional Amendments: Political Motivations and Implications. He argues that the government hopes to restrain the Muslim Brotherhood, divide Islamist and secular opposition movements, and create a new set of constitutional tools to further entrench its hold on Egyptian politics.
Also available is an Appendix with the full text of the proposed amendments in Arabic and excerpts in English, compiled and translated by Research Assistant Dina Bishara.
Notes:
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
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