Suzanne Maloney, Aaron David Miller, Karim Sadjadpour
{
"authors": [
"Karim Sadjadpour"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
],
"collections": [
"Iranian Proliferation"
],
"englishNewsletterAll": "menaTransitions",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "MEP",
"programs": [
"Middle East"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"United States",
"Middle East",
"Iran"
],
"topics": [
"Nuclear Policy",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Iran Nuclear Deal: A Moment for Cautious Optimism
While the Iran nuclear deal offers a potential nuclear détente, the United States and Iran are not on the verge of a rapprochement just yet.
Source: CNN
The Iran nuclear deal is not a moment for euphoria but a moment for cautious optimism, said Carnegie’s Karim Sadjapour on CNN. While the deal provides minor sanctions relief and unfreezes about 10 billion dollars’ worth of Iranian assets, the reality is that if six months from now Iran decides to renege on some of the agreements, the sanctions will remain intact. “If it took marathon diplomacy to reach only an interim deal, to reach a final resolution to this conflict, it’s going to resemble an ultra-marathon through mine fields,” Sadjapour explained. “It’s going to be very difficult to reach a final resolution.”
“We have to have realistic expectations about what this deal is. The United States and Iran are not going to be allies tomorrow. The United States, Saudi Arabia, and Israel are going to remain allies,” Sadjapour noted. “This is very much potential nuclear détente. We are not on the verge of a U.S.-Iran rapprochement.”
About the Author
Senior Fellow, Middle East Program
Karim Sadjadpour is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on Iran and U.S. foreign policy toward the Middle East.
- Iran Wanted to Survive the War. Now What?Q&A
- What’s Keeping the Iranian Regime in Power—for NowQ&A
Aaron David Miller, Karim Sadjadpour, Robin Wright
Recent Work
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Parliamentary Elections in Occupied Ukraine Risk Backfiring for the KremlinCommentary
Despite unhappiness on the ground, Moscow is determined to use both carrot and stick to ensure there is record support for United Russia in occupied Ukraine.
Konstantin Skorkin
- From Hormuz to the Maghreb: The Geopolitical Reach of a Gulf CrisisArticle
Morocco and Algeria, each in its own way, are having to navigate the global economic fallout of the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran.
Yasmine Zarhloule
- Nolan’s "The Odyssey" Has a Colonialism ProblemCommentary
Despite Morocco’s hopes that its film industry would reap rewards, the blockbuster’s success will be tainted by controversy surrounding filming in occupied Western Sahara.
Sarah Yerkes
- Demystifying the Nuclear ThresholdPaper
The nuclear weapons threshold is increasingly important for proliferation strategy and policy. Policymakers should better understand the implications of the threshold phenomenon in the current international security environment and plausible strategies to deal with the growing challenge that it presents.
Ariel (Eli) Levite, Toby Dalton
- Securing America’s Near Abroad: Recalibrating U.S. Policy Toward HaitiPaper
Helping to stabilize Haiti is in the United States’ national interest and can be done by making wise use of various foreign policy tools in addition to supporting international security forces.
Christopher Shell