It’s dangerous to dismiss Washington’s shambolic diplomacy out of hand.
Eric Ciaramella
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Despite the hype, the Modi-Obama meet may not show results in the short term. There may be an opportunity for the two countries to cooperate on defense technology, though.
Source: CNBC
India certainly is a very important priority for the United States, there are no two ways about that. It is not a particularly urgent priority. So there is a separation there.
If you look at what the President has on his table -- it is Syria, it is ISIS, Ukraine and Russia. So I don’t think India, for many good reasons, doesn’t factor on to that list. So the question is this administration has the foresight to be able to - as it is handling this crisis - think about how it plans to see to re-cultivate this relationship with India where we see things in terms of concessions on trade, on intellectual property, on defence. These are the sort of things which they may look in the aggregate in small things but there are important in long-term.I put three on the list. Number one is defence. So keep aside for a second the nuclear issues because I think those are contentious, the nuclear liability isn’t going to go anywhere at least in the short-term.
India clearly wants to invest in the opportunity of having co-production co-development of defence technology. Now that is something that two governments have worked towards. It is something can happen, one of the decisions that was in the budget was to hike defence foreign direct investment (FDI) from 26 percent to 49 percent. So that is number one. I expect the two leaders are going to recommit themselves to trying to move in that direction. There are some proposals on the table that are more concrete.
The second is on energy. One of the things that the Prime Minister has talked about is the need for India to get its energy house in order to fix not only its domestic issue with relation to subsidies, so on and so forth but also in terms of how they interact with the broader world. So there India clearly wants natural gas exports from the United States. The question is US up until now has wanted to link this issue with a climate issue. So can there be some kind of meeting of the minds whereby the US provides energy, energy technology in exchange for some movement on climate change?
The final issue where a win-win is possible is on higher education. There is no question that India has a shortage of higher educational institutes of the sufficient quality of IITs and IIMs. The US has a lot to offer in this regard. It is very difficult for US higher educational institutions to get into India but if that is something that Modi can prioritize, there is huge amount of willingness on this side to go into India. They are just waiting for the right signals to be given.
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
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