Negative Multiplicity: Forecasting the Future Impact of Emerging Technologies on International Stability and Human Security, September, 26, 2022

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In The Media

Negative Multiplicity: Forecasting the Future Impact of Emerging Technologies on International Stability and Human Security, September, 26, 2022

This study reveals a combined effect that the authors term ‘negative multiplicity’. Negative multiplicity reflects the predominantly negative, concurrent, and in some cases similar, first- and second-order effects that emerging technologies are expected to have on international stability and human security.

By Ulrich Kühn

Published on Sep 26, 2022

Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy

About the Author

Ulrich Kühn

Nonresident Scholar, Nuclear Policy Program

Ulrich Kühn is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and the head of the arms control and emerging technologies program at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg.

Recent Work

Commentary
Why Arms Control Is (Almost) Dead
- Ulrich Kühn
Report
Preventing Escalation in the Baltics: A NATO Playbook
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Security Nuclear Policy Technology

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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