The main source of Russian aggression is a profound mistrust of the West and the firm belief that it intends to inflict a “strategic defeat” on Russia. As long as this fear persists, the war will not end.
Tatiana Stanovaya
While the "reset" in U.S.–Russian relations has come with closer cooperation on arms control, Afghanistan, and Iran, as long as Russia's system of personalized power rests on anti-Western principles, a true reset is unattainable.
Source: Washington

Is it possible to reform the Russian system from the top? Could technological innovation help Russia’s political liberalization? What are the domestic roots of Russia’s foreign policy and how sustainable is the current reset with the United States?
In Lonely Power, adapted from the Russian version, Lilia Shevtsova questions the veracity of clichés about Russia—by both insiders and outsiders—and analyzes Russia’s trajectory and how the West influences the country’s modernization.
Rejection of real reform in Russia risks gradual decay of the political system or even state collapse. Russia can break this vicious circle only if it rejects personalized power and if the West helps Russia transform economically and politically.
“Lilia Shevtsova is one of Russia's best-known political analysts, equally at home in the academic world and in the more robust exchanges of journalism and the media.”
—The Economist on the Russian version of Lonely Power
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
The main source of Russian aggression is a profound mistrust of the West and the firm belief that it intends to inflict a “strategic defeat” on Russia. As long as this fear persists, the war will not end.
Tatiana Stanovaya
Europe’s interests in Syria extend beyond migration management, yet the EU trails behind other players in the country’s post-Assad reconstruction. To boost its influence in Damascus, the union must upgrade its commitment to ensuring regional stability.
Bianka Speidl, Hanga Horváth-Sántha
Despite its reputation as an island of democracy in Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan appears to be on the brink of becoming a personalist autocracy.
Temur Umarov
The Russian army is not currently struggling to recruit new contract soldiers, though the number of people willing to go to war for money is dwindling.
Dmitry Kuznets
It’s dangerous to dismiss Washington’s shambolic diplomacy out of hand.
Eric Ciaramella