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{
  "authors": [
    "Lina Khatib",
    "Martin Lidegaard",
    "Jean-Marie Guéhenno",
    "Steven Heydemann",
    "Hazem Kandil",
    "Ellen Lust",
    "Mohammed Hafez",
    "Rasmus Alenius Boserup",
    "Helle Malmvig",
    "Sune Haugbølle",
    "Jakob Wichmann"
  ],
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  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
    "Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center"
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  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center",
  "programAffiliation": "MEP",
  "programs": [
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  "regions": [
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  "topics": [
    "Political Reform"
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}

Source: Getty

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Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center

Engaging With an Arab World in Crisis

Almost four years later, the opportunity for political transition in the Middle East and North Africa seems to have narrowed.

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By Lina Khatib, Martin Lidegaard, Jean-Marie Guéhenno, Steven Heydemann, Hazem Kandil, Ellen Lust, Mohammed Hafez, Rasmus Alenius Boserup, Helle Malmvig, Sune Haugbølle, Jakob Wichmann
Published on Dec 1, 2014
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Middle East

The Middle East Program in Washington combines in-depth regional knowledge with incisive comparative analysis to provide deeply informed recommendations. With expertise in the Gulf, North Africa, Iran, and Israel/Palestine, we examine crosscutting themes of political, economic, and social change in both English and Arabic.

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Source: Danish Institute for International Studies

When the Arab Revolts broke out in late 2010 and early 2011, observers and policymakers cheered the arrival of an opportunity, however fragile and uncertain, for generating political change in a region that for decades had hosted the world’s most enduring authoritarian regimes.

Almost four years later, the opportunity for political transition seems to have narrowed. With a few but important exceptions such as Tunisia, authoritarian regime practices have been restored, regional competition has increased, contentious politics have been militarized, and in some cases the political arenas have disintegrated.

These recent developments not only present decisionmakers in the Arab region with an unprecedented political and social crisis. They also force international actors to reconsider their policy preferences and alliance-buildings, and may prompt immediate security concerns to trump the long-term political development goals that were identified in the early days of the “Arab Spring.”

The Danish Institute for International Studies organized an international conference and hosted Carnegie’s Lina Khatib to discuss recent developments in the Arab region and how Denmark and its partners may best engage with the region in the future.

The conference was originally organized and published by the Danish Institute for International Studies, in collaboration with JMW Consulting and funded by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark.

About the Authors

Lina Khatib

Former Director, Middle East Center

Khatib was director of the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut. Previously, she was the co-founding head of the Program on Arab Reform and Democracy at Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law.

Martin Lidegaard

Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno is the president and CEO of the International Crisis Group. A former French diplomat, he served as the United Nations’ under secretary general for peacekeeping operations from 2000 to 2008.

Steven Heydemann

Hazem Kandil

Ellen Lust

Mohammed Hafez

Rasmus Alenius Boserup

Helle Malmvig

Sune Haugbølle

Jakob Wichmann

Authors

Lina Khatib
Former Director, Middle East Center
Martin Lidegaard
Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno is the president and CEO of the International Crisis Group. A former French diplomat, he served as the United Nations’ under secretary general for peacekeeping operations from 2000 to 2008.

Steven Heydemann
Hazem Kandil
Ellen Lust
Mohammed Hafez
Rasmus Alenius Boserup
Helle Malmvig
Sune Haugbølle
Jakob Wichmann
Political ReformEgyptGulfLevantMaghrebMiddle EastNorth Africa

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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